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Premier League

Liverpool - Fulham

09/12/2026, 02:00 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Liverpool
1.6
Total xG
2.6
Fulham
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

1:2

6%

3:0

5%
xG 分解
LIVFUL

Liverpool

排名优势 (第5位 vs 第11位, 相差6位)
+0.05
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.02
Cody Gakpo替补席 (7球, 5助攻)
Alexis Mac Allister替补席 (2球, 4助攻)
Milos Kerkez替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Rio Ngumoha替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
22%进球产出缺失 (仅70%可用)

Fulham

排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第5位, 相差6位)
-0.13
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
+0.02
22%进球产出缺失 (仅84%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.33
+0.33
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

51%

平局

28%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

49%

非平局

72%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Squad impact for Liverpool: Only 71% of typical scoring threat is available with Cody Gakpo, Alexis Mac Allister, Milos Kerkez, and Rio Ngumoha missing
  • Offensive potential: Liverpool averaged 6.2 shots on target with 58% possession in their recent matches
  • Away vulnerability: Fulham concedes an average of 2.21 goals per away match, making them extremely vulnerable
风险因素
  • Fatigue factor: Liverpool had only 3 days of rest since their last match, compared to Fulham's 7 days of recovery
  • Squad absences: Deficits in lineup depth for Liverpool due to missing key players could impact their consistency
  • Limited data availability on historical H2H matchups prior to 2024
概述

Liverpool (7th place, 5 points) host Fulham (19th place, 0 points) at Anfield

Premier League match on September 12, 2026, 3:00 PM

Liverpool enter the match as strong favorites against the second-to-last team in the table

近期状态

Liverpool are in good shape and unbeaten in 5 matches with a form trend of DDDWW

The home side comes off two consecutive wins

Fulham travel with a disappointing form record of DWLLL having lost their last 3 matches

The visitors are on a clear downward trend

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Liverpool scores an average of 1.66 goals per game this season and concedes 1.39 goals

At home, their defense is significantly more stable, conceding only 0.95 goals per game

Fulham averages 1.24 goals scored per game and concedes a worrying average of 2.21 goals on the road

The visitors' defensive vulnerability away from home is statistically prominent

Liverpool has kept 10 clean sheets so far in this campaign

历史交锋

The last 4 head-to-head matches show an even balance with 1 win each and 2 draws

The goal difference in these matches is 8:7 in favor of Liverpool

The last meeting on April 11, 2026, ended in a 2-0 home victory for Liverpool

The historical matchup history remains highly competitive with no dominant side

关键球员

Dominik Szoboszlai stands out for Liverpool with 6 goals and 7 assists this season alongside strong recent form

Florian Wirtz has contributed 5 goals and 3 assists so far

Alexander Isak is another key threat with 3 goals this season and a rising form trend

For Fulham, Alex Iwobi is a crucial attacking outlet with 4 goals and 3 assists

Josh King has shown rising form lately with 2 goals in his last 4 appearances

Antonee Robinson solidifies the defense and has scored 1 goal this season

门将

Alisson is between the posts for Liverpool, holding a season rating of 6.81

The Brazilian goalkeeper has recorded 5 clean sheets at home this season

Bernd Leno guards the goal for Fulham with a season rating of 6.8

The German goalkeeper has registered 3 away clean sheets so far this campaign

影响因素

The home advantage at Anfield is significant, as Liverpool concedes just 0.95 goals per game at home

In contrast, Fulham struggles defensively on the road, conceding an average of 2.21 goals

The match will be played on a natural grass surface

A home win is mathematically projected with a probability of 51%

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