🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

Premier League

Chelsea - Hull City

09/12/2026, 02:00 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
Chelsea
1.8
Total xG
2.8
Hull City
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
CHEHC

Chelsea

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.08

Hull City

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.76
最近5场中5场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.11
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.33
+0.33
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

58%

平局

25%

客胜

17%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

83%

客胜或平局

42%

非平局

75%

双方进球

是

52%

否

48%

关键因素
  • Mathematical advantage: The model predicts a home win probability of 58% and 1.84 expected goals for Chelsea
  • Tactical comparison: Chelsea recently averaged 4.8 shots on target per game, compared to Hull City's average of 3.8
  • Offensive potential: Chelsea is currently scoring more frequently with an average of 2.2 goals compared to their season average of 1.9
风险因素
  • Defensive stability of the visitors: Hull City conceded an average of 0 goals in recent matches
  • Limited data availability regarding the current player statistics for the away team
概述

Chelsea (4th place, 6 points) host Hull City (3rd place, 7 points) at Stamford Bridge

Premier League match on September 12, 2026, 2:00 PM

Both teams started the season strongly and fight for top positions

近期状态

Chelsea with form WLWWL (3 wins, 2 losses in all competitions)

Hull City unbeaten with form WWWWD (4 wins, 1 draw)

Chelsea lost their last match to Arsenal, while Hull City drew against Aston Villa

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Chelsea scored an avg of 1.53 goals per game last season and conceded an avg of 1.37

Hull City reached an avg of 1.49 goals and conceded an avg of 1.35 per game

Chelsea kept 9 clean sheets on average, while Hull City achieved 14

At home Chelsea scored 1.53 goals on average, while Hull City scored an avg of 1.48 away

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match so far

Chelsea won that meeting 4-0 away on February 13, 2026

Hull City is still waiting for their first goal against Chelsea

关键球员

João Pedro is Chelsea's top scorer with 15 season goals and 5 assists

Cole Palmer scored 10 goals and provided 1 assist with an average rating of 6.97

Pedro Neto has contributed 5 goals and 6 assists so far

门将

Emiliano Martínez starts in goal for Chelsea, with 3 games played at this venue and an average rating of 7.28

Hull City relies on Konstantinos Tzolakis in goal

影响因素

Stamford Bridge recorded an average of 3.6 goals per game in recent matches

Chelsea averaged 1.53 goals scored per home game over the season

Hull City averaged 1.48 goals scored per away game over the season

准备开始了吗？

创建账户，探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。