Premier League
Manchester United - Manchester City
09/13/2026, 03:30 PM
预期进球
1.9
3.4
1.5
1:1
11%2:1
9%1:2
7%2:2
7%2:0
6%xG 分解
Manchester United
Manchester City
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
48%
平局
25%
客胜
28%
进球数
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
66%
Under 2.5
34%
Over 3.5
44%
Under 3.5
56%
双重机会
主胜或平局
72%
客胜或平局
52%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
67%
否
33%
关键因素
- Manchester United is currently scoring more frequently (2.8 goals average) than their season average (1.9)
- Manchester City's ongoing 4-game winning streak solidifies their strong momentum
- Both teams play possession-dominant football with United averaging 7.2 shots on target and City 6.4 in recent games
风险因素
- Manchester United has only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Manchester City concedes 1.31 goals per away game on average making them more vulnerable on the road
- The absence of J. Doku reduces City's offensive depth
概述
Derby time at Old Trafford
Manchester United (13th place, 4 points) host Manchester City (2nd place, 9 points)
Premier League clash on September 13, 2026, 4:30 PM
The hosts look to climb into the upper half of the table while City target the top spot
近期状态
Manchester United show a form of WLWDW with 3 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches
Manchester City travel with a run of 4 consecutive wins (form: LWWWW)
The visitors are in stronger shape and aim to extend their perfect league run
Form codes: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Manchester United average 1.86 goals scored per home game
Manchester City average 2.00 goals scored per away game
Defensive stats favor City with only 0.92 goals conceded per game on average this season
Old Trafford saw high-scoring games with an average of 4.8 goals in the last 5 matches
历史交锋
United dominated recent encounters with 2 wins from 4 matches
The last direct duel ended in a 2-0 win for Manchester United on January 17, 2026
The overall goal difference in recent matches is balanced at 4-4
关键球员
Bruno Fernandes contributed 9 goals and 21 assists this season
Bryan Mbeumo is in stable form with 3 goals in his last 5 appearances
Matheus Cunha has registered 10 goals and 2 assists this season
Erling Haaland is the top threat with 27 season goals and 5 goals in his last 5 matches
Rayan Cherki shines in City's midfield with 12 season assists
Phil Foden completes City's strong attack with 7 goals this season
门将
Senne Lammens guards United's goal with an average rating of 6.76
Gianluigi Donnarumma starts in goal for City and has kept 16 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Home advantage at Old Trafford is statistically significant with an average of 4.8 goals per game
The match is played on natural grass
The mathematical model indicates a 48% probability for a home win