Premier League
Leeds United - Newcastle United
09/14/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.5
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
12%0:0
10%2:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
Leeds United
Newcastle United
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
50%
平局
29%
客胜
21%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
双重机会
主胜或平局
79%
客胜或平局
50%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Analytical favorites: The mathematical model predicts Leeds United with a 50% home win probability and 1.52 expected goals
- Offensive gap for Leeds: The home side has struggled recently in goal scoring, averaging only 0.8 goals per match compared to their 1.5 season average
- Critical absence for the visitors: Newcastle United travels without William Osula and Joe Willock, reducing their usual starting eleven strength to 72%
风险因素
- Quiet attack from Leeds: The home side averaged only 2.8 shots on target per match in their recent outings
- Vulnerable away defense: Newcastle United concedes an average of 2.08 goals per game on the road
概述
Leeds United host Newcastle United at Elland Road
Premier League match on September 14, 2026, 8:00 PM
A close battle in mid-table: Newcastle is in 10th place, with Leeds right behind in 11th
Both sides have started the season with 5 points from 3 matches
近期状态
Leeds United form is WLWDD
They come off back-to-back draws in the league
Newcastle United shows a form of WLDWD
Most recently drew 2-2 against Bournemouth
Both teams recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five outings
统计数据
Leeds averages 1.29 goals scored and 1.47 goals conceded per season match
At home, their defense is solid, conceding only 0.95 goals per game
Newcastle averages 1.39 goals scored and 1.45 goals conceded overall
The visitors struggle away from home, conceding an average of 2.08 goals per game
历史交锋
Two head-to-head matches in recent history
Newcastle United leads with one win and one draw
The last encounter ended in a spectacular 4-3 win for Newcastle on January 7, 2026
Leeds United is still searching for their first win against the Magpies
关键球员
Dominic Calvert-Lewin is Leeds' top forward with 14 season goals
Jayden Bogle is in rising form with one goal and one assist in his last five appearances
Yoane Wissa is in great shape for Newcastle, scoring 3 goals in his last five games
门将
James Trafford guards the net for Leeds, sporting a high home rating of 7.29
Lukas Hornicek starts in goal for Newcastle United
Both teams have recorded 8 clean sheets in the current season
影响因素
Leeds profits from home advantage, conceding only 21 goals in 22 home fixtures
Historically, matches at Elland Road average 2.0 goals per game