Premier League
AFC Bournemouth - Brentford
09/12/2026, 02:00 PM
预期进球
1.8
2.9
1.1
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
9%1:2
6%3:1
6%xG 分解
AFC Bournemouth
Brentford
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
51%
平局
26%
客胜
23%
进球数
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
33%
Under 3.5
67%
双重机会
主胜或平局
77%
客胜或平局
49%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- Brentford's away defensive struggle: The visitors concede an average of 2.07 goals per game on the road
- Brentford's squad impact: Due to the absence of 5 key players including Dango Ouattara and Mikkel Damsgaard, only 76% of their usual squad strength is available
- Balanced possession: Both teams averaged almost identical possession shares of around 47% and 48% in their recent matches
风险因素
- Stagnant home offense: Bournemouth's recent goal production has slowed down to 1.2 goals compared to their 1.8 season average
- Low offensive efficiency: Both teams averaged only 4.0 shots on target per game in their recent matches
- Defensive injuries: Brentford must cope without defenders B. Fredrick and S. van den Berg
概述
AFC Bournemouth (15th place, 2 points) host Brentford (5th place, 5 points) at the Vitality Stadium
Premier League match on September 12, 2026, 3:00 PM
The hosts are still searching for their first win of the season, while the visitors aim to stay near the top
近期状态
AFC Bournemouth show an inconsistent form of DDLDD in their recent outings
During this period, they recorded 0 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss
Brentford travel with a recent form of DDWDD consisting of 1 win, 4 draws, and 0 losses
Both teams finished their respective last matches with a draw
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Bournemouth score an average of 1.53 goals and concede 1.42 goals per match this season
At home, they average 1.53 goals scored and only 1.05 goals conceded
Brentford score an average of 1.45 goals and concede 1.37 goals per match
On the road, Brentford's defense struggles, conceding an average of 2.07 goals per away game
历史交锋
In the last 4 direct duels, Bournemouth recorded 0 wins, while Brentford claimed 3 victories
Only 1 encounter ended in a draw
The goal difference stands at 4:9 in favor of Brentford
The most recent match on March 3, 2026, ended in a 0:0 stalemate
关键球员
Marcus Tavernier stands out with 7 season goals and 4 assists
Striker Evanilson has contributed 6 goals and 2 assists so far
Defender Adrien Truffert has assisted 6 goals and scored 1 of his own
Igor Thiago shines in attack with an impressive 22 season goals and 1 assist
Kevin Schade follows in offense with 8 goals and 3 assists
Keane Lewis-Potter has recorded 3 goals and 3 assists
门将
Djordje Petrovic is in goal for Bournemouth with a season average rating of 6.80
Caoimhín Kelleher guards the net for Brentford with a season average rating of 6.91
Kelleher has shown strong recent form with an average rating of 7.02 over his last 5 matches
影响因素
The match is played on natural grass at the Vitality Stadium
The historic goal average at this venue is 3.0 goals per game
Both teams scored in 4 out of the last 5 home games