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Premier League

Sunderland - Arsenal

09/12/2026, 07:00 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
Sunderland
0.8
Total xG
2.1
Arsenal
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:1

14%

0:0

13%

0:2

10%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
SUNARS

Sunderland

防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.25
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.13
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.13
排名劣势 (第7位 vs 第1位, 相差6位)
-0.12
Trai Hume替补席 (2球, 1助攻)

Arsenal

防守实力 (场均失0.7球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.64
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (1.6 vs 2 赛季平均)
-0.14
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.28倍)
-0.11
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第7位, 相差6位)
+0.04
25%进球产出缺失 (仅85%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.6球 vs 总体2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.38
+0.38
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

22%

平局

32%

客胜

46%

进球数

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

36%

Under 2.5

64%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

双重机会

主胜或平局

54%

客胜或平局

78%

非平局

68%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • Arsenal's outstanding defense (0.71 goals conceded on average) faces Sunderland's moderate offense
  • Arsenal averaged 5.2 shots on target in recent matches, putting high pressure on opponents
  • The mathematical model predicts a clear trend towards an away win with a probability of 46%
风险因素
  • Arsenal arrive with only 3 days of rest since their last match, which could cause fatigue
  • The absence of W. Saliba weakens Arsenal's defense and reduces their usual starting XI strength to 86%
  • Sunderland are defensively stable at home, conceding only 0.87 goals per home game on average
概述

Sunderland host Arsenal at the Stadium of Light

Premier League match on September 12, 2026, 8:00 PM

Sunderland currently sit in 12th place with 4 points

Arsenal travel as league runners-up with a perfect 9 points

A clear favorite role for the visiting team

近期状态

Sunderland show a form of WWLWD

Their last result was a 1-1 draw against Brentford

Arsenal are in excellent shape with 4 consecutive wins and an overall form of DWWWW

The Gunners won their last match 1-0 against Napoli

统计数据

Sunderland average 1.11 goals scored and 1.26 goals conceded per game

Arsenal have a highly stable defense, conceding only 0.71 goals per game

The Gunners score an average of 1.87 goals per match

Sunderland are defensively stronger at home, conceding only 0.87 goals on average

历史交锋

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won once and there was one draw

The last meeting ended in a clear 3-0 victory for Arsenal

Sunderland scored 2 goals in these matches, while Arsenal scored 5 times

关键球员

Enzo Le Fée is in great form with a recent rating of 7.61 and 2 goals in 5 games

Nilson Angulo shows a rising trend with 2 goals in his last 5 matches

Granit Xhaka stabilizes the midfield with a season rating of 7.13

Bukayo Saka shines for Arsenal with 5 goals in his last 5 games and a rating of 7.66

Martin Ødegaard recently recorded 3 goals and 1 assist with a strong rating of 7.82

Declan Rice impresses in midfield with 1 goal and 2 assists in his last 5 matches

门将

Robin Roefs plays in goal for Sunderland with an average rating of 6.94

David Raya guarded the Gunners' goal this season, keeping 19 clean sheets

Roefs kept 11 clean sheets during the current campaign

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at the Stadium of Light

Stadium statistics show an average of 2.0 goals per game

Only 1 out of 5 matches at the Stadium of Light saw both teams score

Sunderland benefit from a longer recovery period of 7 days

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