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Premier League

Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal

09/19/2026, 02:00 PM

3 : 0
预期进球
Brighton & Hove Albion
1.2
Total xG
2.5
Arsenal
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

10%

0:1

9%

1:2

8%

1:0

8%
xG 分解
B&HAARS

Brighton & Hove Albion

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3.4球)
+0.53
状态上升 (3.4 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.53
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.26倍)
-0.25
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.24
排名劣势 (第8位 vs 第1位, 相差7位)
-0.19
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
Mats Wieffer未进大名单 (2球, 3助攻)
14%进球产出缺失 (仅84%可用)

Arsenal

防守实力 (场均失0.7球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.72
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.28倍)
-0.21
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.07
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第8位, 相差7位)
+0.04
客场表现不佳 (场均1.6球 vs 总体2球)
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.40
+0.40
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

31%

平局

31%

客胜

38%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

62%

客胜或平局

69%

非平局

69%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • Attacking trend: Brighton is currently scoring an average of 3.4 goals per game, significantly higher than their season average of 1.7
  • Possession dominance: Brighton averaged 72.2% possession and generated 6.4 shots on target in recent matches
  • Model prediction: Mathematical analysis expects a close match with a 69% probability of Arsenal securing points (X2)
风险因素
  • Limited data quality on weather conditions
  • Arsenal's goal production is currently stalling at an average of 1.8 compared to their season average of 2.1
概述

Brighton & Hove Albion (6th place, 7 points) host league leaders Arsenal (1st place, 12 points) at the American Express Community Stadium

Premier League match on September 19, 2026, 4:00 PM

Top match of two well-started teams aiming for the top of the table

近期状态

Brighton shows solid form with a WWLDW record and a win in their last match

Arsenal travels with a perfect streak of 5 wins (WWWWW)

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Brighton scores an average of 1.37 goals per game and concedes 1.21 goals

Arsenal shines defensively with only 0.71 goals conceded per game and scores 1.87 goals

Arsenal's away strength is shown by an average of 1.88 goals scored and 1.00 conceded

历史交锋

Arsenal dominates the recent 4 matchups with 2 wins and 2 draws with a goal difference of 5:3

The last direct encounter on March 4, 2026 ended in a 1-0 win for Arsenal

关键球员

Maxim De Cuyper impresses in defence with 2 goals and 3 assists and an average rating of 6.78

Pascal Groß contributes a strong average rating of 7.20 in midfield over 19 appearances

Charalampos Kostoulas shines in attack with 2 goals and 1 assist in 21 season games

Bukayo Saka is the top scorer with 7 goals and 6 assists and a rating of 7.22

Declan Rice pulls the strings in midfield with an outstanding season average of 7.33

Martin Ødegaard underlines his class with 3 goals in the last 5 games and a rating of 7.84

Not nominated: Mats Wieffer (2 goals, 3 assists)

门将

Bart Verbruggen is in goal for Brighton with an average rating of 6.83

David Raya kept goal for Arsenal in 37 games with an average rating of 6.78

影响因素

Brighton's home record relies on an average of 1.36 goals scored and 0.91 conceded in front of their home crowd

The stadium statistics at the American Express Community Stadium show an average of 3.2 goals per game

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