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Premier League

AFC Bournemouth - Liverpool

09/20/2026, 01:00 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
AFC Bournemouth
1.7
Total xG
2.9
Liverpool
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
ABLIV

AFC Bournemouth

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.25倍)
+0.23
防守实力 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.05
Justin Kluivert未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)

Liverpool

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.08
H. Ekitike未进大名单 (11球, 4助攻)
20%进球产出缺失 (仅76%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1.9球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.32
+0.32
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

27%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

73%

双方进球

58%

42%

关键因素
  • Mathematical edge with a 48% home win probability combined with Bournemouth's recent 2-1 victory over Real Sociedad
  • Bournemouth averaged 5.4 shots on target per match in recent games, while Liverpool averaged 5.2 shots on target
  • Liverpool's vulnerable away defense concedes an average of 1.94 goals per game this season
风险因素
  • Bournemouth have a shorter recovery period with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Liverpool's historical dominance with 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-head encounters
  • Bournemouth remain winless in this Premier League season with 3 draws and 1 loss
概述

AFC Bournemouth host Liverpool at the Vitality Stadium

Premier League match on September 20, 2026, 2:00 PM

Bournemouth sit in 16th place with 3 points

Liverpool occupy 10th place with 6 points

Both sides aim to climb into the top half of the table

近期状态

Bournemouth's recent form is LDDDW

Their last match was a 2-1 away victory against Real Sociedad

The overall record shows 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss

Liverpool remain unbeaten in their last 5 with a DDWWD run

The Reds recently recorded a 0-0 draw against Fulham

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Bournemouth score an average of 1.53 goals per game this season

At home, the hosts concede an average of 1.05 goals

Liverpool average 1.66 goals scored per match overall

On the road, the visitors concede an average of 1.94 goals

Both teams scored in 4 out of the last 5 games at the Vitality Stadium

历史交锋

There have been 4 head-to-head matches between these teams

Liverpool lead with 3 wins compared to 1 win for Bournemouth

The goal difference stands at 5:11 in favor of the visitors

The most recent encounter ended in a 3-2 home victory for Bournemouth

关键球员

Marcus Tavernier has 7 season goals with a last-5 rating of 7.50

Evanilson contributed 6 goals and 2 assists this season

Alex Scott shines in midfield with a season rating of 6.99

Alexander Isak scored 3 goals in 14 games with a 6.63 rating

Dominik Szoboszlai registered 6 goals and 7 assists so far

Cody Gakpo recorded 7 goals and 5 assists this season

门将

Djordje Petrovic played 38 games this season with a 6.8 rating

Alisson featured in 26 matches with a 6.81 season rating

Bournemouth recorded 11 clean sheets during the season

Liverpool kept 10 clean sheets in this campaign

影响因素

Home advantage for Bournemouth at the Vitality Stadium on grass

The home venue averages 3.0 goals per game historically

The BTTS rate at this stadium stands at 80%

No weather data is available for this match

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