Premier League
Tottenham Hotspur - Leeds United
05/11/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
3.2
1.7
1:1
12%1:2
9%2:1
8%2:2
6%0:2
6%xG 分解
Tottenham Hotspur
Leeds United
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
30%
平局
26%
客胜
43%
进球数
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
61%
Under 2.5
39%
Over 3.5
39%
Under 3.5
61%
双重机会
主胜或平局
57%
客胜或平局
70%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
64%
否
36%
关键因素
- Leeds United's stronger recent form and positive goal trend (2.0 goals vs 1.6 season average), while Tottenham Hotspur's goal production is declining (1.0 goals vs 1.6 season average)
- The mathematical analysis shows a 43% higher probability for an away win for Leeds United compared to a 30% home win for Tottenham Hotspur
- Leeds United are predicted to score more goals (1.73) according to the model than Tottenham Hotspur (1.42 expected goals)
风险因素
- Leeds United concedes an average of 2.21 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
- Tottenham Hotspur concedes an average of 1.88 goals per home game (homeGoalsConcededAvg)
- Tottenham Hotspur's extensive list of absentees, including D. Solanke (Muscle Injury), M. Kudus (Muscle Injury), X. Simons (Unknown Injury), G. Vicario (Groin Injury), and C. Romero (Knee Injury)
概述
Tottenham Hotspur (17th place, 37 points) host Leeds United (16th place, 43 points) at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Premier League match on May 11, 2026, 8:00 PM. Both teams are in the lower half of the league table
近期状态
Tottenham Hotspur's form in the last five matches is LLDWW
This corresponds to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Leeds United comes into the match with form WWDLW
This means 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last five games
Leeds United has a current winning streak of 1 game, while Tottenham Hotspur has achieved 2 consecutive wins
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Tottenham Hotspur scored an average of 1.29 goals per game and conceded 1.54 goals
Leeds United scored an average of 1.34 goals per game and conceded 1.49 goals
In home games, Tottenham Hotspur scored an average of 1.25 goals and conceded 1.88 goals
Leeds United scored an average of 1.36 goals away and conceded 2.21 goals
Tottenham Hotspur kept 8 clean sheets, Leeds United kept 7 clean sheets
At Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, an average of 4.2 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 games (80%)
More than 2.5 goals were scored in all 5 games (100%)
历史交锋
There has been 1 head-to-head match between these teams in total
Tottenham Hotspur won 1 match and Leeds United won 0 matches
There were 0 draws
Tottenham Hotspur scored 2 goals and Leeds United scored 1 goal
The last encounter on October 4, 2025, ended with a 2-1 victory for Tottenham Hotspur
关键球员
For Tottenham Hotspur, Richarlison is an important player with 10 goals and 5 assists and an average rating of 6.95
His form is currently declining (-0.28)
Pedro Porro showed rising form (+0.70) with 1 goal and 2 assists and an average rating of 6.97
João Palhinha contributed 4 goals and 2 assists, his form is stable (-0.01)
On the Leeds United side, Dominic Calvert-Lewin is a key player with 12 goals and 1 assist and an average rating of 6.91
His form is stable (+0.07)
Anton Stach scored 5 goals and 3 assists, his form is currently declining (-0.27)
Brenden Aaronson provided 4 goals and 5 assists, his form is stable (+0.13)
门将
Tottenham Hotspur's goalkeeper Antonín Kinský has not scored or assisted in 4 appearances
Tottenham Hotspur has recorded 8 clean sheets this season
Leeds United's goalkeeper Karl Darlow has not scored or assisted in 19 appearances
Leeds United has recorded 7 clean sheets this season
影响因素
At Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, an average of 4.2 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 80% of the games, and more than 2.5 goals were scored in 100% of the games
Tottenham Hotspur scores an average of 1.25 goals at home and concedes 1.88 goals
Leeds United scores an average of 1.36 goals away and concedes 2.21 goals