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Premier League

Fulham - Manchester United

09/20/2026, 03:30 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Fulham
1.2
Total xG
2.4
Manchester United
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

10%

1:0

9%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
FULMU

Fulham

排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第3位, 相差8位)
-0.24
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.07
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.2球)
-0.04
12%进球产出缺失 (仅91%可用)

Manchester United

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.10
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第11位, 相差8位)
+0.05
Patrick Dorgu替补席 (4球, 4助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1.9球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.32
+0.32
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

36%

平局

31%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

64%

非平局

69%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Balanced prediction: The model calculates an extremely close match with 36% home win and 33% away win probability
  • Historical dominance: Manchester United is unbeaten in the last 5 head-to-head encounters, celebrating 3 wins
  • Offensive drive: Manchester United averaged 6.4 shots on target per match recently compared to Fulham's 4.4
风险因素
  • Fulham's negative trend: The hosts are winless in 4 league games and sit bottom of the table with just one point
  • Vulnerable away defense: Manchester United concede an average of 1.53 goals per away match
  • Midfield absences: T. Cairney is missing for Fulham while Manchester United have to cope without M. Ugarte Ribeiro
概述

Fulham host Manchester United at Craven Cottage

Premier League match on September 20, 2026, 4:30 PM

Bottom-of-the-table Fulham face 13th-placed Manchester United

The home side is in desperate need of points in the relegation battle

近期状态

Fulham's recent form is WLLLD with just one draw in their last match

Manchester United show a form of LWDWL with 2 wins and 2 losses

Fulham earned only one point recently from the draw against Liverpool

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Fulham score an average of 1.24 goals and concede 1.34 goals per season

Manchester United average 1.82 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per match

At home, Fulham concede an average of only 0.83 goals per game

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, there were 3 wins for Manchester United and none for Fulham

The last encounter on February 1, 2026, ended in a 3-2 win for Manchester United

Manchester United scored 7 goals in total against Fulham during this period

关键球员

Josh King scored 2 goals in his last 4 appearances with a rating of 7.13

Bruno Fernandes contributed 4 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 matches

Bryan Mbeumo has 11 goals this season and scored 2 in his last 5 games

Not nominated: Patrick Dorgu (4 goals / 4 assists)

门将

Bernd Leno recorded 9 clean sheets this season

Senne Lammens kept 8 clean sheets in the current campaign

Both goalkeepers averaged a rating below 6.7 over their last 5 games

影响因素

Matches at Craven Cottage historically average 2.8 goals per game

The home advantage is backed by Fulham conceding only 0.83 goals on average at home

The game will be played on grass

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