Premier League
Newcastle United - Hull City
09/19/2026, 02:00 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.6
1.0
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
10%1:2
6%3:1
5%xG 分解
Newcastle United
Hull City
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
51%
平局
28%
客胜
22%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
双重机会
主胜或平局
78%
客胜或平局
49%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
53%
否
47%
关键因素
- Tactical contrast: Newcastle controlled play with an average of 48.2% possession, while Hull City played counter-oriented football averaging just 30.0% possession recently
- Form discrepancy: Hull City remains undefeated in their last five matches (WWWDD), whereas Newcastle has struggled with only one win (LDWDL)
- Model prediction: The mathematical analysis favors Newcastle with a 51% home win probability and expects 1.64 home goals
风险因素
- Low attacking efficiency: Newcastle averaged only 3.0 shots on target in recent matches
- Resilient away defense: Hull City concedes an average of just 1.28 goals per away match this season
- Limited player statistics data for Hull City in the provided dataset
概述
Newcastle United (12th place, 5 points) hosts Hull City (5th place, 8 points) at St. James' Park
Premier League match on September 19, 2026, 3:00 PM
The visitors arrive undefeated and sitting in 5th place
Newcastle looks to bounce back after an inconsistent start to the season
近期状态
Newcastle shows mixed form with one win, two draws, and two losses (LDWDL)
Most recently suffered a heavy 1-4 defeat against Leeds United
Hull City travels with a strong run of three wins and two draws (WWWDD)
The visitors shared points in a 2-2 draw with Chelsea in their last outing
统计数据
Newcastle United averages 1.39 goals scored and 1.45 goals conceded this season
At home, their defense tightens up to an average of 1.15 goals conceded
Hull City scores an average of 1.48 goals away from home while conceding 1.28
The visitors have kept 14 clean sheets throughout the season
关键球员
Harvey Barnes leads Newcastle with 7 goals this season
Yoane Wissa shows rising form with recently recording one goal and one assist
Sven Botman stabilizes the defense with an average rating of 6.97
For Hull City, Oliver McBurnie, Mohamed Belloumi, and Regan Slater are in the starting lineup
门将
Lukas Hornicek guards the goal for Newcastle United and holds a home rating of 7.06
On the opposite side, Konstantinos Tzolakis starts in goal for Hull City
Throughout the season, the hosts kept 8 clean sheets, whereas Hull recorded 14
影响因素
Matches at St. James' Park recently averaged 3.8 goals per game
Both teams scored in all five of the analyzed home fixtures
The historical home advantage is backed by a solid home record of 36 goals scored