Premier League
Brentford - Chelsea
09/18/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
2.0
3.1
1.2
1:1
11%2:1
10%2:0
8%3:1
6%1:2
6%xG 分解
Brentford
Chelsea
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
54%
平局
25%
客胜
21%
进球数
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
Over 3.5
38%
Under 3.5
62%
双重机会
主胜或平局
79%
客胜或平局
46%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
60%
否
40%
关键因素
- Only 43% of Chelsea's goal threat is available, with João Pedro, Reece James, and Malo Gusto missing
- Brentford are highly solid at home, conceding only 0.91 goals per match on season average
- Chelsea averaged 5.4 shots on target in recent matches
风险因素
- Chelsea conceded an average of 2.2 goals in recent matches, well above their season average
- High draw potential with Brentford recording 4 draws in their last 5 games
概述
Brentford host Chelsea at Gtech Community Stadium
Premier League match on September 18, 2026, 8:00 PM
Chelsea sit 6th with 7 points, followed closely by Brentford in 7th with 6 points
近期状态
Brentford remain unbeaten this season with a DWDDD form (1 win, 4 draws)
The home side comes off three consecutive draws
Chelsea present a form of LWWLD (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Brentford score 1.45 goals and concede 1.37 goals per match on season average
At home, Brentford concede only 0.91 goals per game
Chelsea average 1.53 goals scored and 1.29 goals conceded per away match
历史交锋
Brentford did not record a single home win in the last 4 head-to-head matches
Chelsea collected 2 wins and 2 draws
The last encounter ended in a 2:0 away win for Chelsea on January 17, 2026
关键球员
Igor Thiago leads Brentford with 22 goals this season but remained scoreless in his last 5 games
Kevin Schade is in rising form with 4 goals in his last 5 matches
Cole Palmer has been outstanding for Chelsea with 3 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 appearances
Not selected for Brentford: Dango Ouattara (7G/3A), Nathan Collins (1G/2A)
门将
Caoimhín Kelleher features as Brentford's reliable goalkeeper with a 6.91 season rating
Chelsea field Emiliano Martínez, who averaged a rating of 6.67 in his last 5 games
影响因素
The match is played on grass at Gtech Community Stadium
The venue average stands at 2.4 goals per match based on recent history
The mathematical model estimates a 54% probability for a home win