🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

Premier League

Leeds United - Crystal Palace

09/20/2026, 01:00 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Leeds United
1.9
Total xG
3.1
Crystal Palace
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

10%

2:0

8%

3:1

6%

1:2

6%
xG 分解
LUCP

Leeds United

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.03
Brenden Aaronson替补席 (4球, 5助攻)
Jaka Bijol替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Joe Rodon未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)

Crystal Palace

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.15
状态上升 (2 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.15
防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.13
Eddie Nketiah替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
25%进球产出缺失 (仅84%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.32
+0.32
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

53%

平局

25%

客胜

22%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

37%

Under 3.5

63%

双重机会

主胜或平局

78%

客胜或平局

47%

非平局

75%

双方进球

60%

40%

关键因素
  • Leeds United enters as favorites in 6th place with a calculated 53% win probability
  • Leeds recently averaged 3.8 shots on target per match with 47% possession
  • Leeds is defensively solid at home, conceding an average of only 0.95 goals per game
风险因素
  • Crystal Palace has a physical disadvantage with only 3 days of rest compared to Leeds with 6 days
  • The absence of key striker J. Mateta (12 goals) severely weakens the visitors' attack
概述

Leeds United (6th place, 8 points) host Crystal Palace (17th place, 3 points) at Elland Road

Premier League match on September 20, 2026, 2:00 PM

The hosts enter as favorites with a calculated win probability of 53%

近期状态

Form Leeds United: LWDDW

Form Crystal Palace: LLWLW

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Leeds recently secured a clear 4-1 win over Newcastle while Palace beat Lech Poznań 4-0

统计数据

Leeds United scored an average of 1.29 goals and conceded 1.47 goals this season

At home, Leeds is defensively stronger, conceding only 0.95 goals per game on average

Crystal Palace averages 1.08 goals scored and 1.34 goals conceded per season

Palace currently scores more frequently, averaging 2.0 goals compared to their season average of 1.5

历史交锋

A total of 2 head-to-head matches in the database

Leeds United with one victory (4-1) alongside a scoreless draw (0-0)

Crystal Palace are still waiting for a win against Leeds in this period

关键球员

Dominic Calvert-Lewin has 14 goals and one assist this season

Noah Okafor contributes 8 goals and one assist

Anton Stach shines in midfield with 5 goals, 3 assists, and a 7.24 rating

Adam Wharton records one goal and 5 assists with a 6.97 rating

Tyrick Mitchell scored twice in his last 5 matches

Daichi Kamada provided 3 assists in his last 5 appearances

门将

James Trafford starts in goal for Leeds, who have kept 8 clean sheets this season

Walter Benítez holds a 7.30 rating for Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace registered a total of 12 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Home advantage at Elland Road with an average of 3.0 goals per game in local history

Both teams scored in 60% of matches played at this venue

The match is played on grass

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。