Premier League
Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa
09/19/2026, 11:30 AM
预期进球
1.0
2.2
1.3
1:1
15%0:0
12%0:1
12%1:0
9%0:2
8%xG 分解
Tottenham Hotspur
Aston Villa
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
27%
平局
32%
客胜
41%
进球数
Over 1.5
67%
Under 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
双重机会
主胜或平局
59%
客胜或平局
73%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
46%
否
54%
关键因素
- Only 53% of regular attacking threat available, missing Mathys Tel, Archie Gray and Conor Gallagher
- Tottenham Hotspur averaged only 2.8 shots on target in recent matches
- Historical dominance for the visitors with 4 wins in the last 5 head-to-head matches against Spurs
风险因素
- Aston Villa averaged only 3.0 shots on target in recent matches
- Tottenham's goal production is struggling heavily, averaging only 0.33 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.45
- Aston Villa are missing two key players in Matty Cash and Ross Barkley
概述
Tottenham Hotspur (17th place, 2 points) host Aston Villa (19th place, 1 point) at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Premier League match on September 19, 2026, 12:30 PM
Both teams are currently struggling at the bottom of the table early in the season
The away side enters with a calculated win probability of 41%
近期状态
Tottenham Hotspur hold a recent form of WLLDD
The home side recently secured a 0-0 draw against Everton
Aston Villa travel with a form of LLDWL
The visitors lost their last match 1-2 against Nottingham Forest
统计数据
Tottenham Hotspur scored an average of 1.26 goals and conceded 1.50 goals per game over the season
At home, their average stands at 1.29 scored and 1.82 conceded
Aston Villa averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.29 goals conceded per game
In away games, the visitors conceded an average of 1.69 goals
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tottenham had 1 win and Aston Villa had 4 wins
None of these matches ended in a draw
The goal difference in these matches is 5-9 from Spurs' perspective
The last meeting on May 3, 2026, ended in a 2-1 win for Aston Villa
关键球员
Pedro Porro (rating: 7.01) and Rodrigo Bentancur (rating: 6.88) support the defence and midfield of Spurs
Micky van de Ven adds stability with a season rating of 6.75
For Aston Villa, Boubacar Kamara guides the play with a rating of 6.94
He is joined by John McGinn (rating: 6.90) and Emiliano Buendía (rating: 6.84)
门将
Antonín Kinský guards the Spurs' net, carrying a season rating of 6.59
Zion Suzuki starts in goal for the visiting side
Tottenham managed 9 clean sheets this season, matching Aston Villa's 9 clean sheets
影响因素
Matches at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium averaged 1.8 goals per game recently
Spurs conceded an average of 1.82 goals at home, reducing their home advantage
The visitors scored an average of 1.5 goals away from home