Premier League
Manchester City - Brentford
05/09/2026, 04:30 PM
预期进球
2.2
4.0
1.8
2:1
8%2:2
7%1:2
6%3:1
6%3:2
5%xG 分解
Manchester City
Brentford
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
47%
平局
22%
客胜
31%
进球数
Over 1.5
92%
Under 1.5
8%
Over 2.5
76%
Under 2.5
24%
Over 3.5
57%
Under 3.5
43%
双重机会
主胜或平局
69%
客胜或平局
53%
非平局
78%
双方进球
是
75%
否
25%
关键因素
- Home team favoritism: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 47% probability
- Offensive strength and home advantage: Manchester City scores an average of 2.0 home goals and concedes only 0.63 goals per home game
- Brentford's away weakness: The team concedes an average of 1.93 goals per away game
风险因素
- Injuries at Manchester City: J. Gvardiol (Broken Leg) and Rodri (Doubtful) are missing
- Brentford's positive form: The team is currently scoring more frequently (2.0) than their season average (1.7)
- High probability for both teams to score: The mathematical analysis predicts a BTTS probability of 75%
概述
Manchester City (2nd place, 71 points) host Brentford (7th place, 51 points) at the Etihad Stadium
Premier League match on May 9, 2026, 5:30 PM
The hosts are battling at the top of the table, while Brentford have established themselves in the upper mid-table
近期状态
Manchester City is in excellent form, recording 4 wins and 1 draw in their last five matches (WWWWD)
Their last game ended in a draw, following a series of victories
Brentford shows mixed form with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches (DDDLW)
The Bees won their last game
统计数据
Manchester City scores an average of 2.03 goals per game and concedes 0.94 goals per game
Brentford averages 1.49 goals scored and 1.31 goals conceded
Manchester City's home strength is evident with 2.0 goals scored and only 0.63 goals conceded per home game
Brentford concedes an average of 1.93 goals per away game
Both teams scored in 17 Manchester City matches and 18 Brentford matches
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 21 Manchester City games and 18 Brentford games
The Etihad Stadium has seen an average of 3.4 goals per match in the last 5 games
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in all 5 games
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Manchester City dominated with 4 wins
There was 1 draw and no wins for Brentford
Manchester City scored 9 goals, while Brentford scored 4 goals
The last meeting on October 5, 2025, ended in a 1-0 victory for Manchester City
关键球员
For Manchester City, Erling Haaland stands out, having scored 25 goals and provided 7 assists in 33 season appearances
Rayan Cherki delivered 4 goals and 11 assists in 29 appearances and shows a rising form trend
Jérémy Doku contributes to the offense with 4 goals and 5 assists in 26 games and is also in ascending form
For Brentford, Igor Thiago is the top scorer with 22 goals and 1 assist in 35 games
Mikkel Damsgaard scored 4 goals and 4 assists in 30 games and shows a rising form
Mathias Jensen contributed 3 goals and 1 assist in 33 matches, and his form is also on the rise
门将
Manchester City's goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma recorded 14 clean sheets this season
Brentford's goalkeeper Caoimhín Kelleher achieved 10 games without conceding a goal
影响因素
Manchester City benefits from home advantage, as they score an average of 2.0 goals and concede only 0.63 goals at the Etihad Stadium
The Etihad Stadium is known for high-scoring matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game in the last five encounters
In the last five home games, over 2.5 goals were always scored, and both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games