Premier League
Brighton & Hove Albion - Wolverhampton Wanderers
05/09/2026, 02:00 PM
预期进球
1.9
2.7
0.8
2:0
12%1:1
12%2:1
10%3:0
8%3:1
6%xG 分解
Brighton & Hove Albion
Wolverhampton Wanderers
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
62%
平局
24%
客胜
14%
进球数
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
29%
Under 3.5
71%
双重机会
主胜或平局
86%
客胜或平局
38%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis forecasts a home win for Brighton with a 62% probability
- Form and Trend: Brighton shows a positive form trend with 3 wins in their last 5 games, while Wolves have a negative trend with 3 losses
- Offensive Strength vs. Defensive Weakness: Brighton's home strength with 1.42 goals per home game meets Wolves' weak away defense, conceding 3.0 goals per away game
风险因素
- Wolverhampton Wanderers' away weakness: The team concedes an average of 3.0 goals per away game
- Squad impact for Brighton: Without Diego Gómez (5G/1A) and Mats Wieffer (2G/3A), 89% of the usual starting XI strength is available
概述
Brighton & Hove Albion (8th place, 50 points) host Wolverhampton Wanderers (20th place, 18 points) at The American Express Community Stadium
Premier League match on May 9, 2026, 3:00 PM
The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Brighton with a probability of 62% and 1.90 expected home goals
Wolverhampton Wanderers, currently at the bottom of the table, face a tough challenge
近期状态
Brighton & Hove Albion showed a form of WWDWL (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) in their last five matches across all competitions
The last game ended in a loss
According to advanced statistics, Brighton's recent form trend is positive
Wolverhampton Wanderers are in weaker form with DLLLD (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses) in their last five matches
The last game was a draw
Wolverhampton Wanderers' recent form trend is negative according to advanced statistics
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Brighton & Hove Albion averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per game this season
At home, they are stronger with an average of 1.42 goals scored and 0.89 goals conceded per game
The team kept 9 clean sheets
Wolverhampton Wanderers averages only 0.71 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded per match
The Wolves are particularly vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 3.0 goals and scoring only 0.7 goals per away game
They managed to keep a clean sheet in only 4 games this season, with 1 of those away
The history at The American Express Community Stadium shows an average of 2.2 goals per game
Both teams scored in 40% of the matches, and 60% of the matches had over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In the previous 5 head-to-head matches, the record is even
Brighton won 1 match, Wolverhampton Wanderers also won 1 match, and 3 games ended in a draw
The goal difference is slightly in favor of Brighton with 5:4 goals
The last encounter on October 5, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw
关键球员
For Brighton, Danny Welbeck is an important player with 13 season goals and 1 assist, recently contributing 3 goals and 1 assist in 5 games with a rising form trend
Jack Hinshelwood contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games, showing stable form, with a total of 3 season goals and 3 assists
Kaoru Mitoma scored 2 goals in his last 5 appearances with a rising form trend, totaling 3 season goals and 1 assist
For Wolverhampton Wanderers, Santiago Bueno scored 1 goal in his last 4 games, with a total of 3 season goals and 1 assist and stable form
Adam Armstrong scored 1 goal in the last 5 games, with a total of 1 season goal and 2 assists and stable form
Hugo Bueno provided 1 assist in his last 5 appearances with stable form, totaling 1 season goal and 2 assists
门将
Brighton's goalkeeper Bart Verbruggen made 35 appearances this season and kept 9 clean sheets
Wolverhampton Wanderers' goalkeeper Daniel Bentley played 2 games this season and did not keep a single clean sheet
影响因素
Brighton & Hove Albion benefits from a home advantage, as they average 1.42 goals scored at home and concede only 0.89 goals per game this season
The American Express Community Stadium records an average of 2.2 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 40% of the last 5 matches and over 2.5 goals in 60%