Premier League
Fulham - AFC Bournemouth
05/09/2026, 02:00 PM
预期进球
2.3
3.9
1.6
2:1
9%2:2
7%3:1
7%1:2
6%3:2
5%xG 分解
Fulham
AFC Bournemouth
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
52%
平局
22%
客胜
26%
进球数
Over 1.5
91%
Under 1.5
9%
Over 2.5
75%
Under 2.5
25%
Over 3.5
55%
Under 3.5
45%
双重机会
主胜或平局
74%
客胜或平局
48%
非平局
78%
双方进球
是
73%
否
27%
关键因素
- Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis indicates a home win with a 52% probability
- Form Trend: AFC Bournemouth shows a positive trend, averaging 2.2 goals recently compared to 1.9 season average
- Goal-filled match: High probability of 75% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score
风险因素
- Away defensive weakness: AFC Bournemouth concedes an average of 1.94 goals per away game
- Fulham's offense: Fulham's goal production has recently stalled at an average of 1.0 goals, compared to the season average of 1.4
概述
Fulham (11th place, 48 points) hosts AFC Bournemouth (6th place, 52 points) at Craven Cottage. The Premier League match is on May 9, 2026, 3:00 PM. AFC Bournemouth is in the upper half of the table, while Fulham is in mid-table.
近期状态
Fulham shows mixed form with WLDWL (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses) in their last five matches
Their last result was a loss
AFC Bournemouth is in good shape with DWWDW (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) in their last five matches
Their last result was a win
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Fulham averages 1.26 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per game this season
Fulham kept 8 clean sheets
In home games, Fulham averages 1.27 goals scored and only 0.86 goals conceded per match
AFC Bournemouth averages 1.57 goals scored and 1.49 goals conceded per game this season
AFC Bournemouth kept 10 clean sheets
In away games, AFC Bournemouth averages 1.59 goals scored and 1.94 goals conceded per match
Craven Cottage sees an average of 2.0 goals per game
Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 games
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, AFC Bournemouth has the upper hand with 3 wins
Fulham secured 1 win, and 1 encounter ended in a draw
AFC Bournemouth scored a total of 10 goals, while Fulham recorded 6 goals
The last clash on October 3, 2025, ended in a 3-1 victory for AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth has been dominant in recent encounters
关键球员
For Fulham, Harry Wilson (10 goals, 6 assists, Avg. 7.14 rating), Samuel Chukwueze (3 goals, 4 assists, Avg. 6.88 rating), and Emile Smith Rowe (3 goals, 0 assists, Avg. 6.74 rating) are important players
Harry Wilson shows stable form, while Samuel Chukwueze and Emile Smith Rowe show a slightly declining form
Not nominated: Alex Iwobi (4G/3A)
For AFC Bournemouth, Eli Kroupi (12 goals, 0 assists, Avg. 6.87 rating), Marcus Tavernier (6 goals, 4 assists, Avg. 6.92 rating), and Rayan (4 goals, 2 assists, Avg. 7.01 rating) are prominent
Eli Kroupi, Marcus Tavernier, and Rayan all show stable form
Not nominated: Álex Jiménez (1G/1A)
门将
Fulham's goalkeeper, Bernd Leno, made 35 seasonal appearances and contributed to 8 clean sheets
Bernd Leno's form is rising
AFC Bournemouth's goalkeeper, Djordje Petrovic, made 35 seasonal appearances and recorded 10 clean sheets
Djordje Petrovic shows stable form
影响因素
Fulham's home strength is evident with an average of 1.27 goals scored and 0.86 goals conceded at Craven Cottage
AFC Bournemouth averages 1.59 goals scored and 1.94 goals conceded per away game
Craven Cottage sees an average of 2.0 goals per game