Premier League
Everton - Sunderland
05/17/2026, 02:00 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.7
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
Everton
Sunderland
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
45%
平局
29%
客胜
26%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
74%
客胜或平局
55%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
55%
否
45%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis shows a 45% probability of an Everton home win
- Everton shows a positive recent form trend with an average of 1.8 goals per game recently compared to 1.3 goals on season average
- Sunderland's away defense is vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.93 goals per away game
风险因素
- Sunderland is without Habib Diarra (2 goals, 1 assist), meaning 10.2% of their usual starting XI goal threat is missing
- Everton has not won any of their last five matches, with three draws and two losses
概述
Everton (10th place, 49 points) hosts Sunderland (12th place, 48 points) at the Hill Dickinson Stadium. Premier League match on May 17, 2026, 4:00 PM. Both teams are in the mid-table, separated by only one point. The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 45% probability.
近期状态
Everton's form in the last five games is DLLDD (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). Their last two matches ended in a draw. Sunderland's form in the last five games is WLLDD (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses). They also finished their last two encounters with a draw. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Everton scores an average of 1.25 goals at home and concedes 1.20 goals per game. Sunderland scores an average of 1.00 goals away and concedes 1.93 goals per away game. At the Hill Dickinson Stadium, an average of 3.0 goals per game are scored. Both teams scored in 40% of the matches, and 60% ended with over 2.5 goals.
历史交锋
In the two previous head-to-head matches, neither Everton nor Sunderland secured a win, with both games ending in a draw. The goal difference is 2:2. The last encounter on January 10, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw.
关键球员
For Everton, Beto stands out with 5 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games. Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall has recorded 8 goals and 4 assists this season. James Garner has contributed 7 season assists. For Sunderland, Enzo Le Fée is a key player with 4 goals and 5 assists this season. Nordi Mukiele scored 2 goals in the last 5 games. Granit Xhaka has provided 6 season assists.
门将
Jordan Pickford for Everton and Robin Roefs for Sunderland are the expected goalkeepers. Both teams have achieved 11 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
The Hill Dickinson Stadium sees an average of 3.0 total goals per game. Both teams scored in 40% of matches there, and 60% ended with over 2.5 goals.