Premier League
Newcastle United - West Ham United
05/17/2026, 04:30 PM
预期进球
1.8
3.5
1.7
1:1
11%2:1
8%1:2
8%2:2
7%3:1
5%xG 分解
Newcastle United
West Ham United
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
38%
平局
25%
客胜
37%
进球数
Over 1.5
87%
Under 1.5
13%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%
Over 3.5
46%
Under 3.5
54%
双重机会
主胜或平局
63%
客胜或平局
62%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
69%
否
31%
关键因素
- High goal potential: St. James' Park venue statistics and pipeline predictions (69% BTTS, 67% Over 2.5) suggest a high-scoring game
- Guests' defensive weakness: West Ham concedes an average of 2.13 goals per away game
- Newcastle's declining scoring form: The home team's goal production has dropped from a season average of 1.8 to 1.2 recently
风险因素
- Tight outcome according to prediction: The mathematical analysis shows a very narrow distribution of win probabilities (Home 38%, Away 37%)
- Missing key players for Newcastle: 4 key players are not in the lineup, which could affect the team structure
概述
Newcastle United (13th place, 46 points) host West Ham United (18th place, 36 points) at St. James' Park
Premier League match on May 17, 2026, 5:30 PM
Newcastle is in the mid-table, while West Ham is fighting against relegation
近期状态
Newcastle United's form over the last five games shows a record of 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses (LLLWD)
Their last match ended in a draw
West Ham United has a record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches (WDWLL)
The Hammers have recently suffered two consecutive losses
统计数据
Newcastle United averages 1.39 goals per game and concedes 1.44 goals
At home, they score 1.38 goals and concede 1.21 goals per game
They have achieved 8 clean sheets in total, with 3 at home
West Ham United scores an average of 1.17 goals and concedes 1.72 goals per game
Away, their average is 1.2 goals scored and 2.13 goals conceded
They have 6 clean sheets this season, 4 of which were away
At St. James' Park, the last 5 matches averaged 3.2 goals per game
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
With both teams scoring in 5 out of 5 games and over 2.5 goals scored in 4 out of 5 games
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle United secured 2 wins, there was 1 draw, and West Ham United claimed 2 wins
The goal difference is 8:10 in favor of West Ham
The last encounter was won by West Ham United on November 2, 2025, with a score of 3:1
The overall record is even
关键球员
For Newcastle United, key players include Bruno Guimarâes (9 goals, 5 assists, avg rating 7.33), Harvey Barnes (7 goals, avg rating 6.72), and William Osula (5 goals, avg rating 6.68)
For West Ham United, Jarrod Bowen (8 goals, 10 assists, avg rating 7.00), Mateus Fernandes (3 goals, 3 assists, avg rating 7.03), and Konstantinos Mavropanos (3 goals, avg rating 6.99) are significant
门将
Nick Pope of Newcastle United has recorded a total of 8 clean sheets this season, with 3 of them in home games
Mads Hermansen of West Ham United achieved 6 clean sheets, 4 of which were in away matches
影响因素
Newcastle United's home strength is reflected in 1.38 goals scored and 1.21 goals conceded per home game
West Ham United concedes an average of 2.13 goals per away game
St. James' Park tends to favor high-scoring matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game in the last 5 fixtures and 100% BTTS (both teams scored)