Premier League
Aston Villa - Liverpool
05/15/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.9
3.0
1.1
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
9%3:1
6%3:0
6%xG 分解
Aston Villa
Liverpool
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
56%
平局
25%
客胜
19%
进球数
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
35%
Under 3.5
65%
双重机会
主胜或平局
81%
客胜或平局
44%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
57%
否
43%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis sees Aston Villa as 56% favorites for a home win
- Liverpool's squad is weakened with only 88% of usual goal production due to absences
- Liverpool dominates the head-to-head matches with 3 wins and no losses in the last 5 encounters
风险因素
- Liverpool concedes an average of 1.81 goals per game away from home
- Both teams show a stagnant goal production according to Advanced Stats
- Limited data available for duels won in the last 5 games
概述
Aston Villa (5th place, 59 points) host Liverpool (4th place, 59 points) at Villa Park. The Premier League match is on May 15, 2026, 8:00 PM. Both teams are level on points and are battling for European qualification spots.
近期状态
Aston Villa's form in their last 5 matches is LLLWD, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses. Their last game was a 2-2 away draw against Burnley. Liverpool's form is LWWLD, consisting of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their most recent match was a 1-1 home draw against Chelsea. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Aston Villa averages 1.39 goals scored per game this season and concedes 1.28 goals. At home, they average 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded. Liverpool scores 1.67 goals per game and concedes 1.33 goals. Away from home, Liverpool concedes an average of 1.81 goals. At Villa Park, the last 5 matches saw an average of 4.0 total goals per game, with over 2.5 goals in 80% of games and both teams scoring in 40%.
历史交锋
In the past 5 head-to-head encounters, Liverpool dominated with 3 wins compared to Aston Villa's 0, with 2 draws. The goal difference of 5:12 clearly favors Liverpool. The last meeting on November 01, 2025, ended with a 0-2 away win for Liverpool.
关键球员
For Aston Villa, key players include Ollie Watkins with 12 season goals and 2 assists (2 goals, 1 assist in the last 5 games), John McGinn with 4 season goals and 4 assists (2 goals, 2 assists in the last 5 appearances), and Emiliano Buendía who contributed 6 season goals and 2 assists (2 goals, 1 assist in the last 5 games). For Liverpool, Dominik Szoboszlai with 6 season goals and 5 assists (1 goal, 2 assists in the last 5 games), Cody Gakpo with 7 season goals and 5 assists (1 goal, 1 assist in the last 5 games), and Ryan Gravenberch with 5 season goals and 3 assists (1 goal in the last 5 games) are crucial. Not nominated: Florian Wirtz (5 goals/3 assists), Alexander Isak (3 goals/1 assist), Jeremie Frimpong (0 goals/2 assists) affect the attacking strength.
门将
Aston Villa's goalkeeper Emiliano Martínez recorded 9 clean sheets this season. Liverpool's goalkeeper Giorgi Mamardashvili appeared in 9 games this season and achieved 5 clean sheets, while the team as a whole recorded 10 clean sheets.
影响因素
Aston Villa has scored an average of 1.4 goals and conceded 1.0 goals at home. At Villa Park, the last 5 games averaged 4.0 total goals per game, with over 2.5 goals in 80% of matches and both teams scoring in 40%. The match will be played on grass.