Premier League
Arsenal - Burnley
05/18/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
2.4
3.0
0.6
2:0
14%3:0
12%2:1
8%1:1
8%4:0
7%xG 分解
Arsenal
Burnley
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
77%
平局
17%
客胜
6%
进球数
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
36%
Under 3.5
64%
双重机会
主胜或平局
94%
客胜或平局
23%
非平局
83%
双方进球
是
41%
否
59%
关键因素
- Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis forecasts a home win with 77% probability
- Form discrepancy: Arsenal is in top form (4 wins, 1 draw), while Burnley is struggling significantly (4 losses, 1 draw)
- Home strength vs. Away weakness: Arsenal scores an average of 1.90 goals at home and concedes 0.52, while Burnley concedes 2.37 goals away
风险因素
- Burnley concedes an average of 2.37 goals per away game
- Arsenal's goal production has recently stalled (1.4), while the season average is 2.1
- Burnley's goal production has recently stalled (0.8), while the season average is 1.2
概述
Arsenal (1st place, 79 points) host Burnley (19th place, 21 points) at the Emirates Stadium. The Premier League match is on May 18, 2026, 8:00 PM. Arsenal is playing for the title, while Burnley is fighting for survival
近期状态
Arsenal is in excellent form with W D W W W in their last five matches (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
This accounts for 4 wins and 1 draw
Arsenal's last match was a 1-0 away win against West Ham United
Burnley shows a poor run of form with L L L L D in their last five matches
This means 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses
Burnley's last game ended in a 2-2 draw against Aston Villa
统计数据
Arsenal scores an average of 1.90 goals in home games and concedes only 0.52 goals per match
Burnley, on the other hand, concedes an alarming average of 2.37 goals away from home while scoring 1.05 goals per away match
The Emirates Stadium averages 1.6 goals per game
Both teams scored in only 1 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 matches
历史交锋
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arsenal dominated with 3 wins
Burnley has not been able to win any of these encounters so far
Arsenal scored a total of 10 goals, while Burnley managed only 1 goal
The last meeting on November 1, 2025, ended in a 2-0 victory for Arsenal
关键球员
For Arsenal, Bukayo Saka (7 goals, 5 assists, avg. 7.21 rating) and Leandro Trossard (6 goals, 6 assists, avg. 6.97 rating, rising form) are crucial
Declan Rice (4 goals, 5 assists, avg. 7.32 rating) is also very important in midfield
For Burnley, Zian Flemming (10 goals, 1 assist, avg. 6.84 rating) is the top scorer
Jaidon Anthony (8 goals, 2 assists, avg. 6.84 rating) and Loum Tchaouna (2 goals, avg. 6.60 rating, rising form) are other important players
门将
Arsenal goalkeeper David Raya has kept 18 clean sheets in 36 games this season
Max Weiß of Burnley has achieved 0 clean sheets in 1 game
Burnley has not kept any clean sheets in away games this season
影响因素
Arsenal's home strength is evident with an average of 1.90 goals scored and only 0.52 goals conceded per home game
The Emirates Stadium averages 1.6 total goals per match
Both teams scored in only 20% of matches at the Emirates Stadium
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 40% of matches at the Emirates Stadium