Premier League
Leeds United - Brighton & Hove Albion
05/17/2026, 02:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.5
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%0:2
5%xG 分解
Leeds United
Brighton & Hove Albion
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
42%
平局
30%
客胜
28%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
72%
客胜或平局
58%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
52%
否
48%
关键因素
- Leeds United is favored by the mathematical model with a home win probability of 42% and 1.41 expected goals
- Brighton & Hove Albion is in a significantly better league position, 7th place with 53 points, compared to Leeds United
- Brighton shows a strongly improved offensive performance with an average of 2.2 goals per game in recent form, compared to 1.5 goals in the season average
风险因素
- Brighton & Hove Albion won the only head-to-head match away with a clear 3-0 score
- The venue's historical BTTS rate is a low 20%, which contrasts with the pipeline's 52% prediction for 'Both Teams To Score'
- Leeds United has a relatively high season average of 1.47 goals conceded per game
概述
Leeds United (14th place, 44 points) host Brighton & Hove Albion (7th place, 53 points) at Elland Road. The Premier League match takes place on May 17, 2026, 3:00 PM. Leeds aims to stabilize in the mid-table, while Brighton seeks to consolidate its strong season position
近期状态
Leeds United's form in their last five matches is WDLWD (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). Leeds last drew 1-1 against Tottenham Hotspur. Brighton & Hove Albion shows a current form of WDWLW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). They won their last game 3-0 against Wolverhampton Wanderers. Brighton's form is currently stronger than Leeds'
统计数据
Leeds United averages 1.33 goals scored and 1.47 goals conceded per game this season. At home, the average is 1.33 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded. Brighton & Hove Albion scores an average of 1.44 goals per game and concedes 1.17 goals. Away, Brighton scores 1.47 goals and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Leeds United is currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.5). Brighton & Hove Albion is currently scoring more frequently (2.2) than their season average (1.5). Elland Road sees an average of 2.2 total goals per game, with both teams scoring in 1 out of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches
历史交锋
Historically, there has been one head-to-head encounter between these two teams. Brighton & Hove Albion won this single match away with a score of 3-0 on November 1, 2025. The goal difference stands at 0-3 in favor of Brighton. Due to the limited number of matches, historical patterns are difficult to establish
关键球员
Dominic Calvert-Lewin is Leeds United's top scorer with 13 goals and 1 assist, having scored 3 goals in his last 5 appearances. Brenden Aaronson contributed 4 goals and 5 assists, with 1 assist in the last 5 games. Anton Stach (5 goals, 3 assists) scored once in his last 4 games. For Brighton & Hove Albion, Danny Welbeck is an important offensive player with 13 goals and 1 assist, involved in 2 goals in his last 5 matches. Jack Hinshelwood (4 goals, 3 assists) showed strong form with 3 goals in his last 5 appearances. Maxim De Cuyper (2 goals, 3 assists) provided 3 assists in his last 4 games
门将
Leeds United's goalkeeper, Karl Darlow, has no goal contributions in 20 season appearances. The Leeds team has kept 7 clean sheets this season. For Brighton & Hove Albion, Bart Verbruggen has been in goal for 36 season games, also without goal contributions. Brighton has kept 10 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Elland Road has seen an average of 2.2 total goals per game in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 1 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 games. Leeds United showed defensive stability at home with an average of 1.0 goals conceded. Home advantage could be bolstered by a solid defense. No weather data is available for this match