Premier League
AFC Bournemouth - Manchester City
05/19/2026, 06:30 PM
预期进球
1.4
3.0
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
9%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
AFC Bournemouth
Manchester City
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
31%
平局
27%
客胜
42%
进球数
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
35%
Under 3.5
65%
双重机会
主胜或平局
58%
客胜或平局
69%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
61%
否
39%
关键因素
- Pipeline forecast: Manchester City has a higher win probability at 42%
- Head-to-Head: Manchester City historically dominated with 4 wins in 5 encounters
- Seasonal strength: Manchester City's superior offense (avg. 2.08 goals) and defense (avg. 0.89 goals conceded)
风险因素
- Manchester City had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- The pipeline analysis predicts a high 61% probability for both teams to score
- Manchester City players Erling Haaland (FormTrend: declining) and Matheus Nunes (FormTrend: declining) show a declining form trend
概述
AFC Bournemouth (6th place, 55 points) host Manchester City (2nd place, 77 points) at the Vitality Stadium. This Premier League match takes place on May 19, 2026, 8:30 PM. Manchester City are in a title race and aim to close the gap on league leaders Arsenal (82 points).
近期状态
AFC Bournemouth shows strong form with WWDWW in their last five matches, consisting of 4 wins and 1 draw. Their last result was a win. Manchester City is also in top form with WDWWW in their last five games, including 4 wins and 1 draw. The team has secured three consecutive wins. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
统计数据
AFC Bournemouth has averaged 1.56 goals scored per game this season and conceded 1.44 goals. At home, they average 1.56 goals scored and 1.06 goals conceded. Manchester City shows a stronger offense with an average of 2.08 goals per game and a solid defense with only 0.89 goals conceded. Away from home, Manchester City averages 2.07 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded. At the Vitality Stadium, an average of 2.6 goals per game are scored. In 3 out of 5 matches, both teams scored, and there were over 2.5 goals.
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manchester City dominated with 4 wins compared to 1 win for AFC Bournemouth. Manchester City scored a total of 10 goals, while AFC Bournemouth managed 5 goals. The last encounter on November 2, 2025, ended with a 3-1 victory for Manchester City.
关键球员
For AFC Bournemouth, Eli Kroupi with 12 season goals and Marcus Tavernier with 6 season goals and 4 assists are key attacking players. Rayan has been in good form in the last 5 games with 3 goals and 1 assist. For Manchester City, Erling Haaland stands out with 26 season goals and 8 assists. Jérémy Doku recorded 5 season goals and 5 assists and scored 3 goals in his last 5 games. Antoine Semenyo contributed 6 season goals and scored twice in his last 5 appearances.
门将
Djordje Petrovic, AFC Bournemouth's goalkeeper, kept 11 clean sheets this season. On Manchester City's side, goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma managed 16 clean sheets in 33 games.
影响因素
AFC Bournemouth averages 1.56 goals scored at home and concedes 1.06 goals, indicating a home advantage. The Vitality Stadium is known for games with an average of 2.6 goals per match. In 60% of the last 5 games at the stadium, both teams scored, and there were over 2.5 goals.