Premier League
Manchester City - Aston Villa
05/24/2026, 03:00 PM
预期进球
1.8
2.9
1.1
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
9%1:2
6%3:1
6%xG 分解
Manchester City
Aston Villa
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
51%
平局
26%
客胜
22%
进球数
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
33%
Under 3.5
67%
双重机会
主胜或平局
78%
客胜或平局
49%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
57%
否
43%
关键因素
- Critical squad situation for Manchester City: Only 48% of the usual starting XI strength is available, with Erling Haaland (27G/8A), Jérémy Doku (5G/5A), Nico O'Reilly (5G/3A), Matheus Nunes (1G/5A), Marc Guéhi (1G/1A) all missing
- Critical squad situation for Aston Villa: Only 53% of the usual starting XI strength is available, with Morgan Rogers (10G/6A), John McGinn (5G/4A), Lucas Digne (0G/7A), Matty Cash (3G/3A), Youri Tielemans (0G/4A) all missing
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Manchester City with 51% probability, with 1.78 expected goals
风险因素
- Aston Villa has only 4 days rest since their last match
- Aston Villa concedes an average of 1.73 goals per away game
概述
Manchester City (2nd place, 78 points) host Aston Villa (4th place, 62 points) at the Etihad Stadium for a Premier League match on May 24, 2026, 4:00 PM
Manchester City is fighting for the championship, while Aston Villa is playing for a European spot
A crucial victory is essential for both teams
近期状态
Manchester City's form in the last five games (all competitions): DWWWD
This corresponds to 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses
The last appearance ended in a 1-1 draw away against AFC Bournemouth
Aston Villa's form in the last five games (all competitions): LWDWW
This corresponds to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Aston Villa won their last match 3-0 away against SC Freiburg
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Manchester City scored an average of 2.05 goals and conceded 0.89 goals per game this season
They also kept 16 clean sheets
At home, Manchester City scored an average of 2.10 goals and conceded only 0.57 goals per home game
Aston Villa scored an average of 1.46 goals and conceded 1.30 goals per game this season
They managed 9 clean sheets
Away from home, Aston Villa scored an average of 1.47 goals and conceded 1.73 goals per away game
Matches at the Etihad Stadium average 3.2 goals per game
Both teams scored in 40% of the last five matches, and all five matches ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In the last five direct encounters, Manchester City secured two wins and Aston Villa three wins
Manchester City scored a total of 7 goals, Aston Villa 6 goals
The last match was won by Aston Villa on October 26, 2025, with a 1-0 scoreline
Aston Villa has been more dominant in recent encounters
关键球员
For Manchester City, Phil Foden (7 goals, 5 assists), Antoine Semenyo (6 goals, 1 assist), and Tijjani Reijnders (5 goals, 2 assists) stand out
Phil Foden shows stable form with 0 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games with an average rating of 7.26
Antoine Semenyo scored 2 goals in the last 5 games with an average rating of 7.03
For Aston Villa, Ollie Watkins (14 goals, 3 assists), Emiliano Buendía (6 goals, 2 assists), and Ross Barkley (3 goals, 0 assists) are key players
Ollie Watkins shows rising form with 4 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games and an average rating of 7.36
Emiliano Buendía scored 3 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games with rising form and an average rating of 7.45
门将
Manchester City's goalkeeper is James Trafford, who played 3 games this season
Manchester City recorded 16 clean sheets this season
Aston Villa's goalkeeper is Marco Bizot, who played 6 games this season
Aston Villa recorded 9 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Manchester City's home strength is evident with an average of 2.10 home goals scored and only 0.57 goals conceded per home game
Matches at the Etihad Stadium tend to be high-scoring, averaging 3.2 goals per game
In the last five matches at the stadium, over 2.5 goals were always scored