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Premier League

Sunderland - Chelsea

05/24/2026, 03:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Sunderland
1.2
Total xG
2.4
Chelsea
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

0:1

9%

1:0

9%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
SUNCHE

Sunderland

状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.17
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.07
Omar Alderete替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
20%进球产出缺失 (仅85%可用)

Chelsea

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.27
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
-0.27
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

33%

平局

31%

客胜

36%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

64%

客胜或平局

67%

非平局

69%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Sunderland's offensive performance has recently increased, averaging 1.8 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.2 goals
  • Chelsea's goal production has recently decreased, averaging 1.0 goal per game compared to their season average of 1.9 goals
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a close match, with an away win at 36% only slightly above a home win at 33%
风险因素
  • For Sunderland, only 85% of the usual starting XI strength is available, as Omar Alderete is not on the lineup
  • Chelsea averaged 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a high probability of a draw at 31%
概述

Sunderland (10th place, 51 points) hosts Chelsea (8th place, 52 points) at the Stadium of Light. The Premier League match takes place on May 24, 2026, 5:00 PM. Both teams are in the mid-table, with a slight advantage for Chelsea.

近期状态

Sunderland's form across all competitions shows LLDDW. The home team recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five games, most recently a win. Chelsea shows WLDLW. The away team achieved 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five games, also most recently a win. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Sunderland averaged 1.10 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per home game. Chelsea averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.25 goals conceded per away game. Throughout the season, Sunderland averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.27 goals conceded per game. Chelsea averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded per game. At the Stadium of Light, the last 5 games averaged 2.2 goals per game, with both teams scoring in only 1 out of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals scored in 2 out of 5 matches.

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match between these teams. Chelsea won this single encounter. The last match was on October 25, 2025, where Chelsea defeated Sunderland 2:1. Chelsea has been the dominant team in recent history.

关键球员

For Sunderland, midfielder Enzo Le Fée is a key player with 5 goals and 6 assists this season, and his form is rising with an average rating of 7.47 in the last 5 games. Attacker Brian Brobbey scored 7 seasonal goals and 1 assist, his form is stable. Midfielder Granit Xhaka recorded 1 goal and 6 assists this season and his form is stable. For Chelsea, attacker João Pedro is a key player with 15 goals and 5 assists, but his form is declining. Midfielder Enzo Fernández shone with 10 goals and 4 assists and shows rising form. Midfielder Cole Palmer contributed 9 goals and 1 assist, but his form is declining.

门将

Sunderland's goalkeeper, Robin Roefs, was involved in 11 team clean sheets this season. For Chelsea, goalkeeper Robert Sánchez was involved in 9 team clean sheets this season.

影响因素

Sunderland has a home advantage, as they score an average of 1.10 goals in home games and concede only 0.90 goals. Chelsea scored an average of 1.55 away goals and conceded 1.25 away goals. The Stadium of Light has a history of averaging 2.2 goals per game, with both teams scoring in only 20% of the last 5 matches.

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