Premier League
Crystal Palace - Arsenal
05/24/2026, 03:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.7
1.3
1:1
14%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
7%0:2
6%xG 分解
Crystal Palace
Arsenal
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
38%
平局
29%
客胜
33%
进球数
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
29%
Under 3.5
71%
双重机会
主胜或平局
67%
客胜或平局
62%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
57%
否
43%
关键因素
- Arsenal's Absences: The team is severely weakened, with only 33% of the usual starting XI's goal threat available, without Viktor Gyökeres and Bukayo Saka
- Arsenal's Current Form: With 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 games, Arsenal is in strong form
- Historical Dominance: Arsenal has won 4 of the last 5 direct encounters, and the 14:3 goal difference favors the visitors
风险因素
- Arsenal's current goal production is lower (Avg. 1.4 goals), while the season average is Avg. 2.1 goals
- Crystal Palace's recent goals conceded average is higher (Avg. 2.2 goals conceded), compared to their season average of Avg. 1.37 goals conceded
- The pipeline analysis predicts a tight game with a 38% home win probability and 33% away win probability
概述
Crystal Palace (15th place, 45 points) host league leaders Arsenal (1st place, 82 points) at Selhurst Park
Premier League match on May 24, 2026, 4:00 PM
The hosts are having a largely unconcerned season in mid-table
Arsenal is fighting for the league title and needs every point in the championship race
近期状态
Crystal Palace's current form across all competitions: LWDLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
In their last 5 matches, they recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
The last result was a draw (2-2 against Brentford)
Arsenal shows strong form across all competitions: DWWWW
They secured 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches
The team won their last game (1-0 against Burnley) and is on a 4-game winning streak
统计数据
Crystal Palace scored an average of 1.08 goals per game this season and conceded 1.32 goals
At home, Palace averages 1.06 goals scored and 1.24 goals conceded per home game
Arsenal shines with an average of 1.86 goals per game and a strong defense of 0.7 goals conceded
Away, Arsenal's goal average is 1.87 goals and their goals conceded average is 1.0 per away game
At Selhurst Park, an average of 2.6 goals were scored in the last 5 games
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games at Selhurst Park, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 5 matches
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, there were 4 away wins and 1 draw
Arsenal dominated recent matches, winning 4 of the last 5 games
The goal difference of 14:3 clearly favors Arsenal
The last meeting on October 26, 2025, ended with a 0-1 away win for Arsenal
关键球员
For Crystal Palace, Ismaïla Sarr (9 goals, 1 assist), Daniel Muñoz (4 goals, 3 assists), and Jørgen Strand Larsen (3 goals) are important attacking forces
For Arsenal, Martín Zubimendi (5 goals, 1 assist), Gabriel Martinelli (1 goal, 3 assists), and Noni Madueke (2 goals, 1 assist) are the top scorers in the current squad
门将
Dean Henderson is Crystal Palace's goalkeeper and recorded 12 clean sheets this season
Kepa Arrizabalaga is in goal for Arsenal
Arsenal has kept a total of 19 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Selhurst Park saw an average of 2.6 goals per game in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games at Selhurst Park
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 5 home matches