Premier League
Fulham - Newcastle United
05/24/2026, 03:00 PM
预期进球
1.8
3.0
1.1
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
9%1:2
6%3:1
6%xG 分解
Fulham
Newcastle United
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
52%
平局
26%
客胜
22%
进球数
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
66%
双重机会
主胜或平局
78%
客胜或平局
48%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- Critical Squad Impact: Fulham's active goal threat is reduced to 46% without Harry Wilson (10G/6A), Samuel Chukwueze (3G/4A), Saša Lukić (1G/2A)
- Mathematical Favoritism: The analysis predicts a home win for Fulham with a 52% probability, with 1.83 expected home goals
- Tactical Offense: Newcastle United averaged 5.0 shots on target in their last 5 games, compared to Fulham's 2.8
风险因素
- Low Shots on Target Efficiency: Fulham averaged only 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Away Defensive Weakness: Newcastle United concedes an average of 1.92 goals per away game
- Declining Goal Threat: Fulham's goal production recently dropped to 0.5 goals, compared to their season average of 1.3 goals
概述
Fulham (13th place, 49 points) host Newcastle United (11th place, 49 points) at Craven Cottage. The Premier League match takes place on May 24, 2026, 4:00 PM. Both teams are level on points in the mid-table, indicating a balanced encounter
近期状态
Fulham's form in all competitions is DWLLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss), with their last match being a draw. Newcastle United shows LLWDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss), with their last match a win. Fulham's goal production recently stalled (0.5 goals), while their season average is 1.3 goals. Newcastle United's goal production also recently stalled (1.6 goals), with a season average of 1.9 goals
统计数据
Fulham averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.38 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they averaged 1.22 goals scored and 0.87 goals conceded. Newcastle United recorded 1.43 goals scored and 1.43 goals conceded per game. Away from home, they averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.92 goals conceded. Fulham kept 8 clean sheets, as did Newcastle United. Fulham saw both teams score in 20 games, while Newcastle United had both teams score in 25 games
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fulham secured 2 wins and Newcastle United 3 wins, with 0 draws. Fulham scored a total of 6 goals, while Newcastle United scored 7 goals. The last encounter saw Newcastle United win 2-1 away on October 25, 2025. Newcastle United has been the more dominant team in recent matchups
关键球员
For Fulham, Alex Iwobi stands out with 4 goals and 3 assists with an average rating of 7.01. Kevin recently showed rising form with 1 goal and 0 assists in the last 5 games. Emile Smith Rowe contributed 3 goals to the season's performance. For Newcastle United, Bruno Guimarães is the top player with 9 goals and 5 assists and a rating of 7.34. William Osula is in rising form with 4 goals in his last 5 games. Nick Woltemade scored 8 season goals and provided 3 assists
门将
Fulham's goalkeeper Bernd Leno made 37 season appearances and kept 8 clean sheets, with an average rating of 6.80 and rising form. For Newcastle United, Nick Pope played in 26 games and also achieved 8 clean sheets, his average rating is 6.88 with rising form
影响因素
The match takes place at Craven Cottage on grass. At Craven Cottage, an average of 1.6 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in only 1 of 5 games, and only 1 of 5 games saw more than 2.5 goals. Fulham scored an average of 1.22 goals at home and conceded 0.87 goals. Newcastle United scored 1.42 goals away and conceded 1.92 goals