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Premier League

Nottingham Forest - AFC Bournemouth

05/24/2026, 03:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Nottingham Forest
1.8
Total xG
3.3
AFC Bournemouth
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:2

7%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
NFAB

Nottingham Forest

排名劣势 (第16位 vs 第6位, 相差10位)
-0.20
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.02
Nicolás Domínguez替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

AFC Bournemouth

防守不足 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.47
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.38倍)
+0.23
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第16位, 相差10位)
+0.07
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.01
Ryan Christie未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
Álex Jiménez未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

44%

平局

25%

客胜

31%

进球数

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

64%

Under 2.5

36%

Over 3.5

42%

Under 3.5

58%

双重机会

主胜或平局

69%

客胜或平局

56%

非平局

75%

双方进球

66%

34%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: The model calculates a home win probability of 44% for Nottingham Forest.
  • Visitors' Form Strength: AFC Bournemouth is in strong form, with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last five matches.
  • Head-to-Head Dominance: AFC Bournemouth has dominated recent encounters and is unbeaten in 5 games against Nottingham Forest.
风险因素
  • AFC Bournemouth concedes an average of 1.83 goals per away game.
  • Nottingham Forest has shown inconsistent form recently, with 2 losses and one draw in their last five matches.
概述

Nottingham Forest (16th place, 43 points) host AFC Bournemouth (6th place, 56 points) at The City Ground. Premier League match on May 24, 2026, 4:00 PM. Nottingham Forest aims to widen the gap to the relegation zone, while AFC Bournemouth is fighting for European qualification spots.

近期状态

Nottingham Forest's last five matches show a form of WWLDL, which translates to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their last game ended in a loss. AFC Bournemouth presents a better form of WDWWD from their last five games, with 3 wins and 2 draws. Their most recent match resulted in a draw. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Nottingham Forest scores an average of 1.27 goals per home game and concedes 1.47 goals. They kept 4 clean sheets in home matches. AFC Bournemouth averages 1.56 goals scored per away game and concedes 1.83 goals. They maintained 5 clean sheets in away matches. At The City Ground, the last 5 games averaged 2.2 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 3 out of 5 matches, and only 1 out of 5 games having over 2.5 goals.

历史交锋

In 5 direct encounters, Nottingham Forest has not secured a single win, whereas AFC Bournemouth has won 3 matches and drawn 2. The goal difference stands at 4:12 in favor of AFC Bournemouth. The last meeting on October 26, 2025, saw AFC Bournemouth win 2-0. Recent results indicate AFC Bournemouth's dominance.

关键球员

For Nottingham Forest, key players include Morgan Gibbs-White (14 goals, 4 assists) with a rising form trend, Igor Jesus (6 goals, 4 assists) with stable form, and Elliot Anderson (4 goals, 4 assists) also with stable form. For AFC Bournemouth, Eli Kroupi (13 goals, 0 assists) shows stable form, Marcus Tavernier (6 goals, 4 assists) also with stable form, and Evanilson (6 goals, 2 assists) with stable form are notable.

门将

Matz Sels is in goal for Nottingham Forest, having recorded 9 clean sheets this season. For AFC Bournemouth, Djordje Petrovic is the goalkeeper, achieving 11 clean sheets this season.

影响因素

The match will be played on a grass surface. Nottingham Forest's home ground, The City Ground, has seen an average of 2.2 goals per game in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 60% of these games, while 20% of the matches had over 2.5 goals. Nottingham Forest averages 1.27 goals scored at home and concedes 1.47 goals. AFC Bournemouth scores 1.56 goals and concedes 1.83 goals away from home.

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