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Premier League

Tottenham Hotspur - Everton

05/24/2026, 03:00 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Tottenham Hotspur
1.6
Total xG
3.1
Everton
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:2

7%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
THEVE

Tottenham Hotspur

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.04
Randal Kolo Muani替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Everton

防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.16
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.08
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.08
Beto替补席 (9球, 1助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

26%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

39%

Over 3.5

38%

Under 3.5

62%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

74%

双方进球

64%

36%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis slightly favors Tottenham Hotspur with a 40% win probability
  • Everton has recently shown a significantly increased defensive vulnerability, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game
  • Tottenham Hotspur boasts a dominant home record in head-to-head matches, and players like Pedro Porro are showing a rising form trend
风险因素
  • Tottenham Hotspur displays high defensive vulnerability with 1.82 goals conceded per home game
  • Tottenham Hotspur's extensive injury list includes players such as C. Romero (4 goals, 1 assist) and X. Simons (2 goals, 5 assists)
  • Data availability for duels is limited, which complicates a comprehensive analysis
概述

Tottenham Hotspur (17th place, 38 points) host Everton (12th place, 49 points) at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Premier League match on May 24, 2026, 5:00 PM. The mathematical analysis predicts a slight favoritism for the home team with a 40% win probability and 1.65 expected goals

近期状态

Tottenham Hotspur's form in all competitions is DWWDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). This corresponds to 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches. Their last result was a loss. Everton shows the form LLDDL, with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last 5 games. Everton also recorded a loss in their last outing

统计数据

Tottenham Hotspur averaged 1.27 goals scored per game this season and conceded 1.54 goals. At home, they scored 1.24 times and conceded 1.82 goals per game. Everton averages 1.27 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded per game. Away, they scored 1.24 goals and conceded 1.29 goals on average. At the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, an average of 3.6 goals per match was seen in the last 5 games. Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches, and more than 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 matches

历史交锋

In 5 recent head-to-head matches, Tottenham Hotspur won 3 times, while Everton secured 1 victory. 1 match ended in a draw. Tottenham Hotspur scored a total of 13 goals in these encounters, Everton 6 goals. The last direct duel on October 26, 2025, ended with a 3-0 win for Tottenham Hotspur

关键球员

For Tottenham Hotspur, Richarlison (11 season goals, 5 assists, form trend stable) and Mathys Tel (4 season goals, 1 assist, form trend stable) are important players. Pedro Porro also shows a rising form with 1 goal and 0 assists in the last 5 games. For Everton, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (8 season goals, 4 assists, form trend declining) and James Garner (2 season goals, 7 assists, form trend declining) are notable. Thierno Barry shows a rising form trend with 2 goals in the last 5 games

门将

Antonín Kinský is in goal for Tottenham Hotspur, who recorded 8 clean sheets this season. For Everton, Jordan Pickford is the goalkeeper, and the team achieved 11 clean sheets

影响因素

Tottenham Hotspur's home advantage is reflected in 1.24 goals scored per home game. At the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, an average of 3.6 goals per match was seen in the last 5 games. Both teams scored in 80% of the games, and more than 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of the games

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