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Premier League

Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester United

05/24/2026, 03:00 PM

0 : 3
预期进球
Brighton & Hove Albion
1.6
Total xG
2.6
Manchester United
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

10%

1:2

6%

3:1

5%
xG 分解
B&HAMU

Brighton & Hove Albion

防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.26
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.10
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.10
Yankuba Minteh替补席 (3球, 4助攻)
Kaoru Mitoma未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)

Manchester United

状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
+0.13
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.00
Matheus Cunha替补席 (10球, 2助攻)
Benjamin Sesko未进大名单 (11球, 1助攻)
Casemiro替补席 (9球, 2助攻)
Diogo Dalot替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
33%进球产出缺失 (仅78%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1.8球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

50%

平局

28%

客胜

22%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

双重机会

主胜或平局

78%

客胜或平局

50%

非平局

72%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Prediction: The mathematical analysis forecasts a home win for Brighton with a 50% probability
  • Form strength: Manchester United displays impressive form with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 games
  • Scoring ability: Brighton & Hove Albion is currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.41)
概述

Brighton & Hove Albion (7th place, 53 points) host Manchester United (3rd place, 68 points) at The American Express Community Stadium

Premier League match on May 24, 2026, 5:00 PM

Brighton aims to solidify its good season standing, while Manchester United fights for top table positions

近期状态

Brighton & Hove Albion shows mixed form across all competitions (D W L W L)

They achieved 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches

The last game ended in a 0-1 away loss against Leeds United

Manchester United is in strong form (W W W D W)

The team secured 4 wins, 1 draw, and no losses from their last five fixtures

Their last appearance was a 3-2 home win against Nottingham Forest

统计数据

Brighton & Hove Albion scored an average of 1.41 goals per game this season and conceded 1.16 goals

At home, they score 1.43 goals per home game and concede 0.81 goals

Both teams scored in 21 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 18 games

Manchester United averaged 1.78 goals per game this season and conceded 1.35 goals

Away from home, they scored 1.8 goals per game and conceded 1.73 goals

Both teams scored in 27 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 23 games

At The American Express Community Stadium, an average of 2.6 goals are scored per game

Both teams scored in 2 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 5 matches

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove Albion recorded 3 wins and Manchester United had 2 wins

A total of 9 goals were scored by Brighton and 9 goals by Manchester United

The last encounter on January 11, 2026, ended with a 2-1 victory for Brighton

关键球员

Pascal Groß (Midfielder) recorded 1 assist in 5 games with an average rating of 7.32

Danny Welbeck (Attacker) registered 1 goal and 1 assist in 5 games with a rating of 6.99

Jack Hinshelwood (Midfielder) scored 3 times in the last 5 games and improved his form

Bruno Fernandes (Midfielder) excelled with 3 assists in the last 5 games and a season rating of 7.75

Bryan Mbeumo (Attacker) scored 1 goal in the last 5 games, but his form is declining

Kobbie Mainoo (Midfielder) showed rising form with 1 goal in the last 5 games

Not nominated for Brighton: Yankuba Minteh (3G/4A), Kaoru Mitoma (3G/1A)

Not in starting lineup for Manchester United: Matheus Cunha (10G/2A), Benjamin Sesko (11G/1A), Casemiro (9G/2A), Diogo Dalot (1G/3A)

门将

Brighton's goalkeeper Bart Verbruggen made 37 season appearances and kept 10 clean sheets

His recent form trend is slightly declining with an average rating of 6.48

Manchester United's goalkeeper Senne Lammens played 31 times this season and achieved 7 clean sheets

His current form is rising with a rating of 7.04

影响因素

Brighton & Hove Albion holds a home advantage with 1.43 goals scored and only 0.81 goals conceded per home game

The pitch surface at The American Express Community Stadium is grass

The venue sees an average of 2.6 goals per game

Both teams scored in 2 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 5 matches

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