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Championship

Burnley - West Ham United

08/16/2026, 03:00 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
Burnley
0.9
Total xG
2.1
West Ham United
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

0:1

13%

1:0

10%

0:2

9%
xG 分解
BURWHU

Burnley

防守不足 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.83
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.52
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.11
全员可用

West Ham United

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.37
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.04
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.67倍)
-0.02
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

27%

平局

33%

客胜

40%

进球数

Over 1.5

63%

Under 1.5

37%

Over 2.5

35%

Under 2.5

65%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

双重机会

主胜或平局

60%

客胜或平局

73%

非平局

67%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • Historical edge: West Ham United won the last two direct encounters, including a 2-0 away win in their last meeting
  • Form discrepancy: Burnley are winless in five games with a stagnant scoring average of 0.8 goals, while West Ham remain stable
  • Offensive pressure: West Ham United averaged 5.4 shots on target in recent matches compared to Burnley's 3.6
风险因素
  • Limited data available regarding current player form for both teams at the start of the season
  • Vulnerable away defense with West Ham conceding an average of 2.19 goals per away game last season
  • Low-scoring venue history at Turf Moor with an average of only 1.8 goals per match
概述

Burnley host West Ham United at Turf Moor

Championship match on August 16, 2026, 4:00 PM

Both teams start the season with zero points

The mathematical model favors the visitors with a 40% win probability

近期状态

Burnley are winless in their last five matches with two draws and three defeats

The exact form string is LLDLD

West Ham United recorded two wins and three defeats

The exact form string is WLLLW

统计数据

Burnley conceded an average of 1.97 goals per game last season

West Ham United averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.71 goals conceded per match

Burnley's home record shows an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.61 conceded

West Ham conceded an average of 2.19 goals per away game

历史交锋

West Ham United won both of the last two direct encounters

The last meeting ended in a 2-0 away victory for West Ham on February 7, 2026

West Ham scored five goals in total across these matches compared to Burnley's two

关键球员

Zian Flemming recorded 3 goals and 1 assist in 18 home matches with a 6.69 rating

Kyle Walker provided 2 assists in 19 games at Turf Moor with a 6.76 rating

Taty Castellanos stands out for the visitors with 1 goal in 2 games and a 6.96 rating

门将

Max Weiß guarded the net in 22 home matches with a 6.87 rating

Mads Hermansen holds a strong rating of 7.67 in 2 appearances

Burnley kept 4 clean sheets last season while West Ham registered 7 clean sheets

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Turf Moor

The venue history shows an average of 1.8 total goals per match

Both teams scored in only 40% of the recent matches at Turf Moor

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