Super League
Basel - Zürich
02/08/2026, 03:30 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.4
1.0
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
44%
平局
31%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
28%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
56%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
55%
否
45%
关键因素
- Critical absences for Zürich: The visitors are missing key players, leaving only 53% of their season's goal-scoring threat available
- Defensive mismatch: Basel's stable home defense (0.9 goals conceded/game) faces Zürich's very vulnerable away defense (2.22 goals conceded/game)
- Head-to-head dominance: Basel has won 4 of the last 5 encounters, showing clear superiority
风险因素
- Poor current form: Despite being favorites, Basel themselves have only won one of their last five games, making the match unpredictable
- Basel's own absences: The home team is also weakened, having to do without players responsible for 32% of the season's goals
概述
Basel (4th place, 36 points) host Zürich (9th place, 25 points) at St. Jakob-Park
The Super League match will take place on February 8, 2026, at 4:30 PM
Basel aims to solidify their position in the upper third of the table, while Zürich tries to pull away from the mid-table
近期状态
Basel form: DLWLL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
Zürich form: LLDLL (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses)
Both teams are in a crisis of form, with Zürich being winless in their last five games
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Offensively, Basel scores an average of 1.55 goals per game, while Zürich scores 1.45
Defensively, the picture is clear: Basel concedes only 1.18 goals per game, whereas Zürich concedes 1.95
The difference is particularly stark in away games, where Zürich concedes an average of 2.22 goals, while Basel allows only 0.9 goals at home
历史交锋
In the last 5 direct encounters, Basel has dominated with 4 wins to Zürich's one
The goal difference is 11:5 in favor of Basel
Basel won the last meeting on January 25, 2026, with a score of 4:3
关键球员
Xherdan Shaqiri has contributed 9 goals and 10 assists for Basel this season
Philip Otele is also a key offensive player with 5 goals and 4 assists
For Zürich, Philippe Paulin Keny is the top scorer with 8 season goals
Matthias Phaëton follows him with 7 goals
门将
Basel's goalkeeper Marwin Hitz has kept 7 clean sheets in 21 matches this season
Silas Huber, who is in goal for Zürich, has not yet kept a clean sheet in his single appearance this season
影响因素
The last five matches at St. Jakob-Park have tended to be low-scoring, with an average of just 1.6 goals per game
Only 20% of these matches had over 2.5 goals, but both teams scored in 60% of them
Both teams are used to the grass surface, and their season records on this pitch are nearly identical