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Eredivisie

PSV - Fortuna Sittard

08/08/2026, 06:00 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
PSV
2.5
Total xG
3.5
Fortuna Sittard
1.0
最可能的比分

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

1:1

9%

3:1

8%

3:0

8%
xG 分解
PSVFS

PSV

进攻实力 (联赛平均的4.65倍)
+2.50
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均0.5球)
+0.95
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均3.8球)
+0.30
状态上升 (3.8 vs 2.8 赛季平均)
+0.30
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第11位, 相差10位)
+0.12
Esmir Bajraktarevic替补席 (4球, 4助攻)
Yarek Gasiorowski替补席 (3球, 2助攻)
Kiliann Sildillia替补席 (2球, 3助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅80%可用)

Fortuna Sittard

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.38倍)
-2.53
防守不足 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均3球)
-1.15
排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第1位, 相差10位)
-0.11
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.07
Kaj Sierhuis未进大名单 (12球, 1助攻)
Dimitrios Limnios未进大名单 (2球, 6助攻)
Kristoffer Peterson替补席 (3球, 2助攻)
Lance Duijvestijn未进大名单 (3球, 2助攻)
Neraysho Kasanwirjo未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
49%进球产出缺失 (仅69%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.5球)
+1.00
+1.00
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

68%

平局

19%

客胜

13%

进球数

Over 1.5

87%

Under 1.5

13%

Over 2.5

68%

Under 2.5

32%

Over 3.5

46%

Under 3.5

54%

双重机会

主胜或平局

87%

客胜或平局

32%

非平局

81%

双方进球

是

60%

否

40%

关键因素
  • Strong offensive form: PSV currently score more frequently (3.8 goals on average recently) compared to their season average of 2.8
  • Significant squad blow for Fortuna Sittard: Only 70% of the usual starting goal threat is available as top scorer Kaj Sierhuis (12 goals) is not in the lineup
  • Superior tactical metrics: PSV averaged 7.0 shots on target per match with a dominant 58% average possession recently
风险因素
  • Fortuna Sittard concede an average of 2.27 goals per away match
  • Limited data availability for weather conditions
概述

PSV host Fortuna Sittard at the Philips Stadion

Eredivisie match on August 8, 2026, 8:00 PM

PSV start in 8th place (0 points) against Fortuna Sittard in 14th place (0 points)

近期状态

PSV form string is WWDWW

The home team recorded 4 wins and 1 draw in their recent games

Fortuna Sittard enter with a form of DLLWL

The visitors recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses recently

统计数据

PSV averaged 2.97 goals scored per match last season

The home side conceded 1.32 goals per game on average

Fortuna Sittard averaged 1.44 goals scored per match

The visitors conceded an average of 1.85 goals per game

历史交锋

In the past 4 head-to-head matches, PSV recorded 4 wins

Fortuna Sittard did not win any of these matches

The goal difference is 14 to 5 in favor of PSV

The last meeting on January 17, 2026, ended in a 2-1 victory for PSV

关键球员

Ricardo Pepi scored 16 goals and provided 1 assist in 26 appearances

Guus Til recorded 14 goals and 5 assists in 29 matches

Ivan Perišić contributed 7 goals and 12 assists in 30 games

Mohamed Ihattaren registered 6 goals and 10 assists in 28 matches

Philip Brittijn scored 4 goals and provided 1 assist in 32 matches

Yassin Oukili scored 2 goals in 13 appearances

门将

Matej Kovar played 31 matches this season and kept 7 clean sheets

Mattijs Branderhorst played 24 matches and registered 3 clean sheets

影响因素

The average number of goals at the Philips Stadion was 5.4 per match recently

The BTTS rate at the venue was 100% in recent matches

The match is played on natural grass

准备开始了吗？

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