🇳🇱

Eredivisie

SC Heerenveen - FC Twente

08/09/2026, 02:45 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
SC Heerenveen
2.1
Total xG
3.6
FC Twente
1.5
最可能的比分

2:1

9%

2:2

7%

1:2

6%

3:1

6%

3:2

5%
xG 分解
SHFT

SC Heerenveen

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.55倍)
+0.87
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.2球)
-0.16
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.15
Joris van Overeem未进大名单 (2球, 10助攻)
Oliver Braude替补席 (0球, 4助攻)
10%进球产出缺失 (仅75%可用)

FC Twente

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.26
状态上升 (2.8 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
+0.26
Kristian Hlynsson替补席 (10球, 4助攻)
Ruud Nijstad替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
24%进球产出缺失 (仅72%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.67
+0.67
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

51%

平局

23%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

89%

Under 1.5

11%

Over 2.5

70%

Under 2.5

30%

Over 3.5

49%

Under 3.5

51%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

49%

非平局

77%

双方进球

69%

31%

关键因素
  • Matchup advantage: Heerenveen faces a Twente defense that is more vulnerable away from home, conceding Avg. 1.41 goals
  • Possession dominance: Twente recently averaged 61% possession and Avg. 8.2 shots on target
  • Model prediction: The mathematical analysis gives Heerenveen a 51% probability of winning
风险因素
  • Fatigue factor: FC Twente with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Offensive trend: SC Heerenveen's goal scoring has stalled recently, averaging 1.5 goals compared to their season average of 1.7
  • Defensive pattern: Twente currently concedes more goals, averaging 1.8 in recent matches compared to 1.26 over the season
概述

SC Heerenveen hosts FC Twente at the Abe Lenstra Stadion

Eredivisie season opener on August 9, 2026, 4:45 PM

Both teams start the new season level on points in 8th and 11th place

近期状态

SC Heerenveen enters with form WWLDL

Heerenveen's last match ended in a loss

FC Twente travels with form WLLDW

Twente's last match ended in a win

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

SC Heerenveen scored Avg. 1.69 goals and conceded Avg. 1.60 last season

In home games Heerenveen scored Avg. 1.65 and conceded Avg. 1.20

FC Twente scored Avg. 1.74 goals per match while conceding Avg. 1.18

In away games Twente conceded an average of 1.41 goals

历史交锋

There have been 4 direct duels in recent years

FC Twente dominated with 3 wins and 1 draw

The last encounter on February 7, 2026, ended in a clear 5-0 win for Twente

Goal difference stands at 12-4 in favor of Twente

关键球员

Jacob Trenskow with 13 goals and 5 assists last season

Dylan Vente with 8 goals and 3 assists in Heerenveen's attack

Daan Rots with 9 goals and 4 assists for FC Twente

Not nominated for the home team: Joris van Overeem (2 goals, 10 assists), Oliver Braude (0 goals, 4 assists)

Not nominated for the away team: Kristian Hlynsson (10 goals, 4 assists), Ruud Nijstad (1 goal, 1 assist)

门将

Bernt Klaverboer in Heerenveen's goal with 5 clean sheets last season

Lars Unnerstall for Twente with 8 clean sheets

In away matches Unnerstall kept only 1 clean sheet

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Abe Lenstra Stadion

Historical venue statistics show an average of 2.8 goals per match

More than 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 home matches

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