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Eredivisie

FC Groningen - FC Utrecht

08/09/2026, 12:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
FC Groningen
2.0
Total xG
3.6
FC Utrecht
1.6
最可能的比分

2:1

9%

2:2

7%

1:2

7%

3:1

6%

3:2

5%
xG 分解
FGFU

FC Groningen

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.02
Younes Taha未进大名单 (5球, 9助攻)
Dies Janse未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
Marvin Peersman未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)

FC Utrecht

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.11
状态上升 (2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.11
Gjivai Zechiël未进大名单 (9球, 7助攻)
Souffian El Karouani未进大名单 (3球, 12助攻)
Artem Stepanov未进大名单 (5球, 1助攻)
Jesper Karlsson未进大名单 (4球, 1助攻)
Mike van der Hoorn未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
45%进球产出缺失 (仅48%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.6球)
+1.10
+1.10
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

24%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

89%

Under 1.5

11%

Over 2.5

70%

Under 2.5

30%

Over 3.5

49%

Under 3.5

51%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

76%

双方进球

是

70%

否

30%

关键因素
  • Utrecht heavily weakened: Only 49% of typical attacking threat available without Gjivai Zechiël, Souffian El Karouani, Artem Stepanov, Jesper Karlsson and Mike van der Hoorn
  • Utrecht showed strong attacking form recently, averaging 6.4 shots on target per match
  • Vulnerable away defense of Utrecht, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per away match
风险因素
  • Utrecht concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away match
  • Five injured players weaken Utrecht's squad depth for the season opener
  • Limited data availability regarding venue history and weather conditions
概述

FC Groningen (9th place, 0 points) host FC Utrecht (13th place, 0 points)

Season opener at Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium on August 9, 2026, 2:30 PM

The mathematical model predicts a 46% probability for a home win

近期状态

Groningen finished the previous season with a form of LLWWL

Their last result was a 0-2 loss against Ajax

Utrecht showed strong form at the end with WWWWD

Utrecht drew 1-1 against Ajax in their last match

统计数据

Groningen averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.34 goals conceded last season

Utrecht was more offensive, averaging 1.64 goals per match

The model calculates a high 70% probability for over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

Utrecht won 3 of the last 4 head-to-head matches

Groningen only secured 1 win in this period

The last duel on February 14, 2026, ended in a 2-1 victory for Utrecht

关键球员

Thom van Bergen was Groningen's top scorer with 9 goals

Dani de Wit scored 7 goals for Utrecht with a rising form trend

Tygo Land contributed 3 goals and shows a rising form trend

Not nominated: Younes Taha (5G/9A), Dies Janse (2G/2A), Marvin Peersman (3G/1A)

门将

Etienne Vaessen played 30 games for Groningen, keeping 6 clean sheets at home

Michael Brouwer starts for Utrecht, having played only 2 games last season

Vaessen's form trend shows a decline after the end of last season

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium

Groningen's home defense was solid, conceding only 0.95 goals per home game

Utrecht struggled away, conceding an average of 2 goals per away game

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