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Eredivisie

PEC Zwolle - Ajax

08/09/2026, 12:30 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
PEC Zwolle
1.1
Total xG
2.6
Ajax
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

0:2

9%

2:1

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
PZAJA

PEC Zwolle

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.68倍)
-0.80
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第5位, 相差10位)
-0.12
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.04
Kaj de Rooij未进大名单 (6球, 6助攻)
Odysseus Velanas替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Zico Buurmeester未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
Anselmo García MacNulty未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
33%进球产出缺失 (仅73%可用)

Ajax

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.72倍)
-0.50
防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.33
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.28
状态上升 (2.8 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
+0.28
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第15位, 相差10位)
+0.07
Anton Gaaei替补席 (1球, 4助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1.9球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.6球)
+1.10
+1.10
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

25%

平局

29%

客胜

46%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

54%

客胜或平局

75%

非平局

71%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Ajax's strong form: The visitors travel with 4 wins from their last 5 games and currently average 2.8 goals per match, which is higher than their season average of 1.9 goals
  • Tactical dominance: Ajax was highly dominant in recent matches, averaging 66.6% possession and 9.0 shots on target per game
  • Weakened Zwolle squad: The hosts are missing key players like Kaj de Rooij and Odysseus Velanas, leaving them with only 74% of their usual lineup strength
风险因素
  • Short recovery time: Ajax has only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Defensive absences for Ajax: Injuries to defenders like J. Šutalo and K. Itakura could impact their defensive stability
  • Artificial turf factor: Zwolle is highly accustomed to playing on artificial grass at home, which might pose a challenge for the visitors
概述

PEC Zwolle host Ajax at the MAC³PARK Stadion

Eredivisie match on August 9, 2026, 2:30 PM

PEC Zwolle currently sits in 7th place, while Ajax is in 12th position in the standings

Both sides enter this fixture with 0 points

近期状态

Ajax is in excellent form with 4 wins and 1 draw across all competitions (WDWWW)

PEC Zwolle shows a weaker form curve with 3 losses in their last 5 matches (DLWLL)

Ajax recently won 3-1 against Shelbourne

Zwolle lost their last match 0-2 against Feyenoord

统计数据

Ajax averages 1.81 goals scored and 1.17 goals conceded per match this season

PEC Zwolle struggles defensively, conceding an average of 2.09 goals per game

In Zwolle's home matches, an average of 1.31 goals were scored and 1.31 conceded

Ajax averages 1.76 goals scored and 1.41 goals conceded in their away fixtures

历史交锋

Ajax dominates the historical head-to-head with 3 wins from the last 4 encounters

PEC Zwolle failed to win any of these direct duels, securing only a single draw

The overall goal ratio stands at 6-1 in favor of the visitors

Their last meeting on March 1, 2026, ended in a scoreless 0-0 draw

关键球员

Koen Kostons has been a key offensive threat with 11 goals and 6 assists this season

Thijs Oosting shows rising form with 1 goal and 2 assists over his last 5 matches

Mika Godts remains the main threat for Ajax, having recorded 17 goals and 13 assists

门将

Jasper Schendelaar is in goal for PEC Zwolle and kept 6 clean sheets this season

Marc-André ter Stegen guards the net for Ajax, with the away team keeping 11 clean sheets in total

影响因素

The match will be played on artificial turf at the MAC³PARK Stadion

PEC Zwolle has a home record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses on this surface

Ajax remains unbeaten on artificial turf, recording 3 wins and 5 draws in 8 games

The historic average goal rate at this venue stands at 2.4 goals per game

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