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Eredivisie

Ajax - SC Heerenveen

08/16/2026, 02:45 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
Ajax
2.5
Total xG
3.7
SC Heerenveen
1.2
最可能的比分

2:1

9%

3:1

8%

3:0

6%

2:2

6%

4:1

5%
xG 分解
AJASH

Ajax

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.57倍)
+1.61
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均3球)
+0.34
状态上升 (3 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
+0.34
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.12
Mika Godts未进大名单 (17球, 13助攻)
15%进球产出缺失 (仅78%可用)

SC Heerenveen

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.67倍)
-1.23
防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均2.1球)
-0.47
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.21
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
-0.14
Joris van Overeem未进大名单 (2球, 10助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.4球)
+0.90
+0.90
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

65%

平局

20%

客胜

16%

进球数

Over 1.5

89%

Under 1.5

11%

Over 2.5

71%

Under 2.5

29%

Over 3.5

50%

Under 3.5

50%

双重机会

主胜或平局

84%

客胜或平局

35%

非平局

80%

双方进球

是

65%

否

35%

关键因素
  • Offensive trend: Ajax are scoring more frequently with 3.0 recent goals compared to their 1.9 season average
  • Tactical dominance: Ajax dominated recent games with an average of 69.8% possession and 9.0 shots on target
  • Form gap: Heerenveen's attack is slowing down with 1.3 recent goals compared to 1.7 on average
风险因素
  • Ajax face a tight schedule with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Heerenveen struggle defensively away from home conceding an average of 2.13 goals
概述

Ajax host SC Heerenveen in the Eredivisie

Match on August 16, 2026, 4:45 PM at the Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax sit in 7th place with 3 points after their opening game

Heerenveen are in 10th place also with 3 points

近期状态

Ajax are unbeaten in their last 5 matches showing a WWWWD form sequence

Heerenveen have been inconsistent with a recent form of WLDLW

Ajax drew their latest match against Shelbourne

Heerenveen recorded a win in their last match against FC Twente

统计数据

Ajax averaged 1.81 goals scored per match last season

Heerenveen conceded an average of 2.13 goals per away match

Ajax scored 1.84 goals on average in their home games

Heerenveen's away struggles are highlighted by 32 goals conceded in 15 games

历史交锋

Four head-to-head matches have been recorded recently

Ajax won 2 of these encounters with 2 ending in a draw

The last meeting on May 17, 2026 ended in a 0-0 draw

Heerenveen have not won any of the last 4 matches against Ajax

关键球员

Steven Berghuis stands out with 4 goals and a rating of 7.33

Davy Klaassen has contributed 8 goals for the home side

Jacob Trenskow is Heerenveen's top threat with 13 season goals

门将

Marc-André ter Stegen starts in goal for Ajax

Bernt Klaverboer is the goalkeeper for Heerenveen

Ajax recorded 11 clean sheets over the season course

Heerenveen achieved a total of 5 clean sheets

影响因素

Matches at the Johan Cruijff Arena average 3.8 goals per game

The match is played on natural grass

Ajax possess a strong home record conceding only 0.95 goals on average

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