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Eredivisie

FC Twente - PEC Zwolle

08/16/2026, 12:30 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
FC Twente
2.7
Total xG
3.4
PEC Zwolle
0.8
最可能的比分

2:0

11%

3:0

10%

2:1

9%

3:1

8%

1:1

7%
xG 分解
FTPZ

FC Twente

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.9倍)
+1.64
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.14
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
+0.14
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第15位, 相差11位)
+0.14
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.06
Kristian Hlynsson替补席 (10球, 4助攻)
Thomas van den Belt替补席 (5球, 1助攻)
26%进球产出缺失 (仅83%可用)

PEC Zwolle

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.51倍)
-1.46
防守不足 (场均失2.2球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
+0.22
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.15
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.15
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第4位, 相差11位)
-0.10
Kaj de Rooij未进大名单 (6球, 6助攻)
Sherel Floranus未进大名单 (1球, 4助攻)
Odysseus Velanas替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Zico Buurmeester未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
Anselmo García MacNulty未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
33%进球产出缺失 (仅67%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.3球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.79
+0.79
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

77%

平局

16%

客胜

7%

进球数

Over 1.5

87%

Under 1.5

13%

Over 2.5

67%

Under 2.5

33%

Over 3.5

45%

Under 3.5

55%

双重机会

主胜或平局

93%

客胜或平局

23%

非平局

84%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Tactical dominance: FC Twente averaged a strong 7.4 shots on target with 63% possession in recent matches
  • Strong offensive trend: Twente currently scores more frequently (2.4 goals) compared to their season average of 1.9
  • Zwolle crisis: PEC Zwolle's goal production is stalling at an average of 0.8 goals compared to their season average of 1.3
风险因素
  • Squad deficit for Zwolle: Kaj de Rooij, Sherel Floranus, Odysseus Velanas, Zico Buurmeester, and Anselmo García MacNulty are missing, leaving only 67% of usual starting lineup strength
  • Short recovery: FC Twente has only 3 days of rest since their last match compared to Zwolle's 7 days
  • Away vulnerability: PEC Zwolle conceded an average of 2.78 goals per away match last season
概述

FC Twente (13th place, 0 points) host PEC Zwolle (15th place, 0 points) at De Grolsch Veste

Eredivisie match on August 16, 2026, 2:30 PM

Both teams started the season with a loss and seek their first points

近期状态

FC Twente shows form LDWLD with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches

Their last game was a 3-3 draw against Dunajská Streda

PEC Zwolle has form LWLLL with 1 win and 4 losses

They suffered a 0-2 defeat against Ajax in their last match

统计数据

FC Twente scored 1.74 goals per game and conceded 1.18 on average last season

At home, Twente averaged 1.71 goals scored and conceded only 0.94 goals

PEC Zwolle conceded an average of 2.78 goals per away match last season

PEC Zwolle scored an average of 1.28 goals on the road

历史交锋

In the last 4 direct duels, Twente won 0, Zwolle won 1, and 3 ended in a draw

The goal difference stands at 3-4 in favor of Zwolle

The last meeting on January 10, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw

关键球员

Daan Rots (9 goals, 4 assists, 7.02 rating) drives the attack

Sondre Ørjasæter (3 goals, 6 assists, 7.05 rating) controls the wing

Koen Kostons is the biggest threat for the visitors with 11 goals and 6 assists

门将

Lars Unnerstall recorded 8 clean sheets last season

Jasper Schendelaar registered a rating of 6.45 in his 2 appearances

Zwolle managed only 1 clean sheet in away matches last season

影响因素

De Grolsch Veste features a natural grass pitch

The stadium history shows high-scoring matches with an average of 3.6 goals per game

Twente holds a strong home defense with only 16 goals conceded in 17 home matches last season

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