Eredivisie
FC Utrecht - AZ
08/15/2026, 04:45 PM
预期进球
2.1
3.1
1.0
1:1
11%2:1
10%2:0
10%3:1
7%3:0
7%xG 分解
FC Utrecht
AZ
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
61%
平局
23%
客胜
16%
进球数
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
Over 3.5
37%
Under 3.5
63%
双重机会
主胜或平局
84%
客胜或平局
39%
非平局
77%
双方进球
是
57%
否
43%
关键因素
- Major setback for AZ: Only 48% of seasonal goal threat available with Troy Parrott, Sven Mijnans, Isak Jensen, Alexandre Penetra, and Jordy Clasie missing
- Home strength vs away weakness: Utrecht concedes 0.71 goals on average at home, while AZ allows 2.27 goals per away game
- Prediction advantage for Utrecht: The model calculates a 61% home win probability and forecasts 2.08 expected home goals
风险因素
- Squad limitations for Utrecht: Gjivai Zechiël, Souffian El Karouani, Jesper Karlsson, and Mike van der Hoorn are out, with only 57% of goal threat available
- AZ is unbeaten in 5 matches and started the season with a win, highlighting their stable form trend
概述
FC Utrecht (12th place, 0 points) host AZ (4th place, 3 points) at Stadion Galgenwaard
Eredivisie match on August 15, 2026, 6:45 PM
The hosts aim for their first points after a loss, while the visitors look to maintain their perfect start
近期状态
FC Utrecht comes in with form WWWDL and a recent 1-2 loss against FC Groningen
AZ is unbeaten in 5 matches with form DDDDW, starting with a 2-0 win over ADO Den Haag
The home side won 3 of their last 5 matches, while the visitors had 4 draws
Form-String Legend: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
FC Utrecht averages 1.64 goals scored and 1.25 goals conceded per match
AZ scores an average of 1.71 goals while conceding 1.50 per game
Utrecht concedes only 0.71 goals per match on average at home
The visitors display major defensive struggles on the road, conceding an average of 2.27 goals per away game
Utrecht recently played counter-oriented with an average of 43% possession and 5.6 shots on target
AZ was possession-dominant in recent matches, averaging 55% possession and 5.0 shots on target
历史交锋
In 4 head-to-head matches, FC Utrecht won 2, AZ won 1, and 1 ended in a draw
The goal difference in these direct encounters is even at 5-5
The last meeting on March 1, 2026, ended in a 2-0 home victory for FC Utrecht
关键球员
Dani de Wit impresses in midfield with 7 season goals and an average rating of 7.04
Niklas Vesterlund recently showed rising form with 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games
For AZ, Mexx Meerdink is a key attacker with 5 season goals and stable form
门将
Vasilios Barkas has played 35 matches this season, securing 9 clean sheets
For the visitors, Jari De Busser averages a rating of 7.75 at Stadion Galgenwaard according to the dataset
Both defensive units have benefited from 9 clean sheets recorded by their respective teams this season
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at Stadion Galgenwaard
Recent home games here have seen an average of 3.2 goals per match
FC Utrecht concedes only 0.71 goals on average at home, highlighting their strong home advantage