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Eredivisie

Willem II - NEC Nijmegen

08/15/2026, 02:30 PM

1 : 4
预期进球
Willem II
1.3
Total xG
2.9
NEC Nijmegen
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
WINN

Willem II

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.02
全员可用

NEC Nijmegen

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.31
状态下滑 (1.5 vs 2.2 赛季平均)
-0.22
Sami Ouaissa未进大名单 (6球, 6助攻)
Noé Lebreton替补席 (5球, 4助攻)
Philippe Sandler未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)
33%进球产出缺失 (仅60%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.6球 vs 总体2.2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.40
+0.40
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

31%

平局

28%

客胜

41%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

双重机会

主胜或平局

59%

客胜或平局

69%

非平局

72%

双方进球

60%

40%

关键因素
  • The mathematical model predicts a 41% win probability for the visitors
  • NEC Nijmegen averaged 6.0 shots on target in recent matches showing high offensive threat
  • Willem II scored a total of 5 goals against Nijmegen in the past 2 head-to-head encounters
风险因素
  • Sami Ouaissa, Noé Lebreton, Philippe Sandler are missing for the visitors, leaving only 60% of goal threat available
  • NEC Nijmegen conceded an average of 1.75 goals per away match last season
  • Willem II averaged only 1.0 shots on target in their last match
概述

Willem II host NEC Nijmegen at Koning Willem II Stadion

Eredivisie match on August 15, 2026, 4:30 PM

Both teams look for their first seasonal win after opening day defeats

Willem II sit in 17th place after a 1-4 opening loss

NEC Nijmegen occupy 13th position after their initial defeat

近期状态

Willem II started the season with an L loss against Go Ahead Eagles

The form string across all competitions is L

NEC Nijmegen show a form trend of LWDLW

The visitors recently recorded a 2-1 win over Olympiacos F.C.

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Willem II conceded 4 goals in their only league game so far

The hosts average 1.0 goals scored per game

NEC Nijmegen scored an average of 2.26 goals per match in the previous campaign

The visitors conceded an average of 1.75 goals per away game

NEC Nijmegen recorded only 1 clean sheet in away matches last season

历史交锋

2 head-to-head matches in recent history

Willem II secured one win while NEC Nijmegen are without a victory in head-to-head duels

The last encounter on May 3, 2025 ended in a 1-1 draw

Willem II scored 5 goals and conceded 2 in these direct games

The historical home record favors the hosts

关键球员

Bryan Linssen scored 11 goals and provided 7 assists in the season with a rating of 7.01

Tjaronn Chery contributed 10 goals and 6 assists showing a stable form trend

Darko Nejasmic scored four times this season and delivers stable performances in midfield

门将

Karst de Leeuw starts in goal for Willem II

Gonzalo Crettaz guarded the visitors' goal 31 times during the season with a rating of 6.84

Crettaz shows a declining form trend over his recent performances

NEC Nijmegen achieved 5 clean sheets in total last season

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Koning Willem II Stadion

The hosts conceded 4 goals in their first away game of the season

NEC Nijmegen scored an average of 2.25 goals and conceded 1.75 per away match

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