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Eredivisie

Excelsior - PSV

08/15/2026, 06:00 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Excelsior
1.3
Total xG
3.0
PSV
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

2:1

7%

0:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
EXCPSV

Excelsior

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3.2球)
+0.55
状态上升 (3.2 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.55
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.38
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.28倍)
+0.34
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第1位, 相差12位)
-0.18
Noah Naujoks替补席 (10球, 1助攻)
Gyan de Regt替补席 (3球, 7助攻)
Derensili Sanches Fernandes未进大名单 (6球, 3助攻)
Arthur Zagré未进大名单 (4球, 2助攻)
Emil Hansson未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
76%进球产出缺失 (仅30%可用)

PSV

最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均3.8球)
+0.31
状态上升 (3.8 vs 2.8 赛季平均)
+0.31
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第13位, 相差12位)
+0.09
Esmir Bajraktarevic未进大名单 (4球, 4助攻)
Yarek Gasiorowski未进大名单 (3球, 2助攻)
Kiliann Sildillia未进大名单 (2球, 3助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均2球 vs 总体2.8球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.59
+0.59
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

30%

平局

27%

客胜

43%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

57%

Under 2.5

43%

Over 3.5

34%

Under 3.5

66%

双重机会

主胜或平局

57%

客胜或平局

70%

非平局

73%

双方进球

是

60%

否

40%

关键因素
  • Critical shortage for Excelsior: Only 30% of the goal threat is available, without Noah Naujoks, Gyan de Regt, Derensili Sanches Fernandes, Arthur Zagré, and Emil Hansson
  • Model prediction favors visitors: Mathematical analysis calculates a 43% probability for a PSV win with 1.63 expected goals
  • Offensive strength of PSV: The visitors averaged 2.97 goals per game last season and recently averaged 7.2 shots on target
风险因素
  • Defensive vulnerability: Excelsior conceded an average of 1.65 goals per game last season
  • Artificial turf record: Excelsior won only two out of ten games on this surface
概述

Excelsior host PSV at the Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Eredivisie matchday two on August 15, 2026, 8:00 PM

Excelsior started the season in first place with three points

PSV sit in tenth place with one point

近期状态

Excelsior show strong form with four wins and one draw

Last match was a clear 4-0 away victory against Cambuur

PSV are also unbeaten with three wins and two draws

Their last match ended in a 2-2 draw against Fortuna Sittard

Form codes: Excelsior WWDWW, PSV WDWWD

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Excelsior scored an average of 1.26 goals and conceded 1.65 last season

PSV impressed offensively with an average of 2.97 goals per game

Away from home PSV scored an average of 3.07 goals

At home Excelsior averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.38 conceded

历史交锋

Two head-to-head matches in history

PSV won both matches with a goal difference of 7:2

The last encounter ended 5-1 in favor of PSV

关键球员

Irakli Yegoian scored 5 goals for Excelsior this season

Ricardo Pepi is PSV's top scorer with 16 goals

Ivan Perišić contributed 7 goals and 12 assists so far

门将

Stijn van Gassel played 32 matches in goal for Excelsior

Matej Kovar made 31 appearances for PSV

Excelsior kept 6 clean sheets last season while PSV kept 7

影响因素

The match is played on artificial turf at the Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior's record on artificial turf is 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses

PSV recorded 4 wins and 2 losses on artificial turf

The stadium averages 2.6 goals per game

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