🇳🇱

Eredivisie

PSV - FC Groningen

08/23/2026, 12:30 PM

5 : 1
预期进球
PSV
2.0
Total xG
3.0
FC Groningen
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

2:0

10%

3:1

7%

3:0

6%
xG 分解
PSVFG

PSV

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.59倍)
+0.60
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第9位, 相差8位)
+0.08
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均3球)
+0.07
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.02
Paul Wanner替补席 (3球, 3助攻)
Yarek Gasiorowski替补席 (3球, 2助攻)
Kiliann Sildillia替补席 (2球, 3助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅84%可用)

FC Groningen

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.65倍)
-1.32
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.13
状态上升 (2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.13
排名劣势 (第9位 vs 第1位, 相差8位)
-0.09
Marco Rente替补席 (3球, 4助攻)
Dies Janse未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
Marvin Peersman未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
12%进球产出缺失 (仅78%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.5球)
+0.98
+0.98
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

58%

平局

24%

客胜

17%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

57%

Under 2.5

43%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 3.5

65%

双重机会

主胜或平局

83%

客胜或平局

42%

非平局

76%

双方进球

是

56%

否

44%

关键因素
  • Mathematical favor: The model estimates a 59% probability of a home win for PSV
  • Tactical dominance: PSV recently averaged 6.6 shots on target with 59.4% possession
  • Historical edge: PSV won all of the last 4 direct meetings against FC Groningen
风险因素
  • Away defense issues: Groningen concede an average of 1.81 goals per away match
  • Defensive rotation for visitors: Key defenders Marvin Peersman, Marco Rente, and Dies Janse are not nominated
  • Squad changes for PSV: Key assets Paul Wanner, Yarek Gasiorowski, and Kiliann Sildillia are missing from the lineup
概述

PSV (6th place, 4 points) host FC Groningen (2nd place, 6 points) at the Philips Stadion

Eredivisie match on August 23, 2026, 2:30 PM

An early top-tier clash with Groningen aiming to keep their perfect record

近期状态

PSV present stable form with 3 wins and 2 draws (DWWDW)

FC Groningen started strong with two consecutive wins (WWLWW, 4 wins, 1 loss)

The visitors display a highly positive recent trend

统计数据

PSV averaged 2.97 goals scored per game this season

FC Groningen scored 1.38 goals on the road but conceded 1.81 on average

PSV's home record shows massive attacking output with average 2.9 goals

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in recent history

PSV dominated heavily with 4 wins and a 14:4 goal record

The last meeting on February 8, 2026, ended in a 2-1 home win for PSV

关键球员

Ricardo Pepi (16 goals) and Ivan Perišić (7 goals, 12 assists) lead the PSV attack

Mauro Júnior contributed 9 assists in the current campaign

For Groningen, Thom van Bergen (9 goals, 4 assists) and Brynjólfur Willumsson (6 goals) are key

门将

Matej Kovar guards the PSV goal with 7 clean sheets this season

Groningen's Etienne Vaessen kept 10 clean sheets in his campaign

影响因素

PSV benefit from a strong home record, scoring 2.9 goals per home match

The Philips Stadion historically featured high-scoring games with average 5.2 goals

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