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Eredivisie

FC Twente - Telstar

09/09/2026, 04:45 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
FC Twente
2.5
Total xG
3.4
Telstar
0.9
最可能的比分

2:0

10%

2:1

9%

3:0

9%

1:1

8%

3:1

8%
xG 分解
FTTEL

FC Twente

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.48倍)
+1.02
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.41
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.18
状态上升 (2.6 vs 2 赛季平均)
+0.18
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第14位, 相差10位)
+0.12
Marko Pjaca替补席 (2球, 1助攻)

Telstar

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.54倍)
-1.95
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第4位, 相差10位)
-0.10
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.02
15%进球产出缺失 (仅88%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均4.1球)
+1.60
+1.60
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

72%

平局

18%

客胜

10%

进球数

Over 1.5

87%

Under 1.5

13%

Over 2.5

67%

Under 2.5

33%

Over 3.5

45%

Under 3.5

55%

双重机会

主胜或平局

90%

客胜或平局

28%

非平局

82%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Tactical dominance: FC Twente averaged 62% possession and 8.0 shots on target in recent matches
  • Telstar away weakness: The visitors concede an average of 2.25 goals per away game
  • Mathematical prediction: The model calculates a 72% home win probability and 2.54 expected goals for Twente
风险因素
  • Fatigue factor: Both teams have only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Historical draw trend: Both previous head-to-head encounters ended in a draw
  • Defensive vulnerability for Telstar with an average of 2.20 goals conceded in recent games
概述

FC Twente host Telstar at De Grolsch Veste

Eredivisie match on September 9, 2026, 6:45 PM

FC Twente in 8th place (7 points) face Telstar in 14th place (4 points)

Clear favorites tag for the home team

近期状态

FC Twente with form WLWWD, recently a 2-2 draw against FC Groningen

Last matches: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss

Telstar with form WWLLD, recently a 2-2 draw against SC Cambuur

Last matches: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

FC Twente score avg 1.74 goals and concede avg 1.18 goals

At home Twente concede only avg 0.94 goals

Telstar score avg 1.44 goals and concede avg 1.62 goals

Away from home Telstar concede avg 2.25 goals

历史交锋

2 head-to-head matches in history

Both matches ended in a draw

Goal difference balanced at 1-1

Last match on February 15, 2026 ended in a 1-1 draw

关键球员

Daan Rots records 9 goals and 4 assists this season

Sondre Ørjasæter with 3 goals and 6 assists

Bart van Rooij scores 3 goals and provides 5 assists

Jeff Hardeveld leads Telstar with 6 goals and 7 assists

Patrick Brouwer scores 7 goals and delivers 6 assists

Nils Rossen contributes with 3 goals and 1 assist

门将

Lars Unnerstall for FC Twente with 8 clean sheets recorded

Ronald Koeman Jr. for Telstar with 5 clean sheets recorded

影响因素

Home advantage for FC Twente on grass surface

Stadium stats show avg 3.6 goals per game with an Over 2.5 rate of 80%

Twente scored 29 goals in 17 home matches

Telstar conceded 27 goals in 12 away matches

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