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Eredivisie

SC Heerenveen - PEC Zwolle

08/22/2026, 07:00 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
SC Heerenveen
2.6
Total xG
3.5
PEC Zwolle
0.9
最可能的比分

2:1

9%

3:0

9%

3:1

8%

4:0

6%

4:1

5%
xG 分解
SHPZ

SC Heerenveen

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.5倍)
+1.58
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.22
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.19
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
-0.14
排名优势 (第8位 vs 第15位, 相差7位)
+0.09
全员可用

PEC Zwolle

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.47倍)
-1.34
防守不足 (场均失2.2球 vs 联赛平均2球)
+0.17
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.15
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.15
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第8位, 相差7位)
-0.07
Sherel Floranus未进大名单 (1球, 4助攻)
Odysseus Velanas替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Zico Buurmeester未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
26%进球产出缺失 (仅73%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.3球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.4球)
+0.92
+0.92
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

72%

平局

18%

客胜

10%

进球数

Over 1.5

88%

Under 1.5

12%

Over 2.5

69%

Under 2.5

31%

Over 3.5

47%

Under 3.5

53%

双重机会

主胜或平局

90%

客胜或平局

28%

非平局

82%

双方进球

是

57%

否

43%

关键因素
  • A home win probability of 72% and 2.61 expected home goals highlight Heerenveen's advantage
  • SC Heerenveen averaged 4.8 shots on target in recent matches, compared to PEC Zwolle's average of 2.8
  • PEC Zwolle lacks their usual attacking strength, as only 74% of their goals share is available without Sherel Floranus, Odysseus Velanas, and Zico Buurmeester
风险因素
  • Defensive instability: PEC Zwolle concedes an average of 2.78 goals per away game
  • Struggling offenses: Both sides have seen their goal production stall recently (Heerenveen scoring 1.3 vs 1.7 average, Zwolle scoring 0.8 vs 1.3 average)
概述

SC Heerenveen (7th place, 4 points) host PEC Zwolle (15th place, 0 points) at the Abe Lenstra Stadion

Eredivisie match on August 22, 2026, 9:00 PM

Clear favorites role for the home side in this match-up

近期状态

Heerenveen with form LDLWD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

They recently recorded a 2-2 draw against Ajax

Zwolle with form WLLLL and a 1-3 defeat to Twente last time out

The visitors enter on a four-game losing streak

统计数据

Heerenveen scored 59 goals (avg. 1.69) and conceded 56 (avg. 1.60) this season

PEC Zwolle scored 44 goals (avg. 1.29) and conceded 71 (avg. 2.09)

Zwolle struggles defensively on the road, conceding an average of 2.78 goals per away game

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches documented

Balanced record with 1 win each and 2 draws

The last direct meeting ended in a 4-2 victory for Heerenveen

关键球员

Jacob Trenskow recorded 13 goals and 5 assists with a rating of 7.2

Dylan Vente contributed 8 goals and 3 assists

Koen Kostons leads the visitors with 11 goals and 6 assists

门将

Bernt Klaverboer holds an average rating of 6.92

Jasper Schendelaar has an average rating of 6.45

Heerenveen secured 5 clean sheets, compared to 6 for Zwolle

影响因素

Matches at the Abe Lenstra Stadion averaged 2.4 total goals

3 of the last 5 home games saw over 2.5 goals

Heerenveen scored 1.65 goals per game on home soil

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