Eredivisie
Ajax - Willem II
09/15/2026, 06:00 PM
预期进球
2.2
3.7
1.5
2:1
9%2:2
7%3:1
6%1:2
6%3:2
5%xG 分解
Ajax
Willem II
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
51%
平局
23%
客胜
26%
进球数
Over 1.5
89%
Under 1.5
11%
Over 2.5
71%
Under 2.5
29%
Over 3.5
51%
Under 3.5
49%
双重机会
主胜或平局
74%
客胜或平局
49%
非平局
77%
双方进球
是
70%
否
30%
关键因素
- Ajax offensive superiority: The hosts are currently scoring 3.8 goals on average, higher than their season average of 2.1
- Tactical dominance: Ajax averaged 9.8 shots on target with 59% possession in recent matches
- Vulnerable defense of Willem II: The visitors concede an average of 2.8 goals per match and are yet to record a clean sheet this season
风险因素
- Tight schedule for Ajax with only 3 days of rest since their last competitive match
- Willem II averaged only 2.4 shots on target in recent matches, indicating limited offensive threat
- Away weakness for the visitors with an average of 2.5 goals conceded per away match
概述
Ajax host Willem II in the Eredivisie
Match at the Johan Cruijff Arena on September 15, 2026, 8:00 PM
Ajax sit in 5th place (10 points), Willem II are 17th (2 points)
The mathematical model calculates a home win probability of 51%
近期状态
Ajax display stable form with the form string WWWLW
They recorded 4 wins and 1 defeat recently
Willem II struggle with the form string LLDLD
The visitors are winless in five matches with 3 defeats
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Ajax average 1.81 goals scored and 1.17 goals conceded per match
Willem II concede 2.8 goals on average while scoring only 1.0 goal
The visitors have not recorded a single clean sheet this season
Ajax have a home goal record of 35 goals scored and 18 conceded
历史交锋
Historical records show 2 wins for Ajax in 2 matches
The goal difference stands at 3:1 in favor of the hosts
The last direct encounter ended in a 2:1 win for Ajax on April 13, 2025
关键球员
Steven Berghuis leads the Ajax attack with a 7.53 rating, 1 goal and 3 assists
Davy Klaassen contributed 4 goals in his last 5 appearances
Julian Brandt stabilizes the midfield with 2 goals this season
For the visitors, Devin Haen is the main threat with 3 goals
Calvin Twigt provides stability in midfield with a rating of 7.22
Nathan Tjoe-A-On has recorded 2 assists so far
门将
Maarten Paes is in goal for Ajax
Maxime Delanghe guards the net for Willem II with a 6.61 rating
Ajax kept 11 clean sheets overall
Willem II are yet to record a clean sheet this season
影响因素
The match is played on grass at the Johan Cruijff Arena
The venue stats show a high average of 5.0 goals per game
Both teams scored in all historical matches at this stadium
Ajax had 3 days of rest compared to 4 days for Willem II