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Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam - FC Utrecht

08/22/2026, 04:45 PM

3 : 3
预期进球
Sparta Rotterdam
1.9
Total xG
3.5
FC Utrecht
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:2

7%

2:0

5%
xG 分解
SRFU

Sparta Rotterdam

防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.33
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
+0.05
Tobias Lauritsen未进大名单 (12球, 5助攻)
Joshua Kitolano未进大名单 (5球, 2助攻)
Teo Quintero替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
57%进球产出缺失 (仅40%可用)

FC Utrecht

防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均2球)
-0.60
Gjivai Zechiël未进大名单 (9球, 7助攻)
Souffian El Karouani未进大名单 (3球, 12助攻)
Jesper Karlsson未进大名单 (4球, 1助攻)
Mike van der Hoorn未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
20%进球产出缺失 (仅68%可用)
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.5球)
+1.00
+1.00
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

43%

平局

25%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

87%

Under 1.5

13%

Over 2.5

67%

Under 2.5

33%

Over 3.5

46%

Under 3.5

54%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

57%

非平局

75%

双方进球

是

69%

否

31%

关键因素
  • Critical squad impact: Only 40% of the usual attacking threat is available, with Tobias Lauritsen, Joshua Kitolano, and Teo Quintero missing
  • Tactical edge: FC Utrecht averaged 4.8 shots on target in recent matches compared to Sparta Rotterdam's 3.6
  • High-scoring matchup: The mathematical model calculates a 67% probability for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score
风险因素
  • Gjivai Zechiël, Souffian El Karouani, Jesper Karlsson, and Mike van der Hoorn are missing for Utrecht, leaving only 69% of the usual attacking threat
  • Away defense issues: Utrecht conceded an average of 2 goals per away game last season
概述

Sparta Rotterdam (11th place, 3 points) face FC Utrecht (14th place, 0 points)

Eredivisie match on August 22, 2026, 4:45 PM at the Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

The home side aims for their second win while the visitors seek their first points after a tough start

近期状态

Sparta Rotterdam shows a form of DLLLW with a win in their latest match

FC Utrecht has a form of WWDLL with two consecutive defeats

(Form code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Sparta scored an avg of 1.18 goals and conceded 1.82 per game last season

FC Utrecht averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.25 goals conceded per match

Both teams scored in 22 matches involving FC Utrecht last season

历史交锋

A total of 4 head-to-head matches have been played recently

Sparta Rotterdam won 2 times, while FC Utrecht secured 1 victory

The last match ended in a 1-0 win for Sparta Rotterdam on January 25, 2026

关键球员

Shunsuke Mito scored 7 goals and provided 3 assists last season

Artem Stepanov has been in good form with 2 goals in his last 4 appearances

Dani de Wit remains a key midfielder with an average rating of 7.04

门将

Filip Bednarek starts for the home team and played 2 recent games

Vasilios Barkas played 35 times last season and kept 9 clean sheets

影响因素

The match will be played on artificial turf at Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta's home record on this surface stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats

Utrecht's away record on artificial turf is 1 win, 3 draws, and 3 defeats

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