Eredivisie
NEC Nijmegen - Excelsior
09/08/2026, 04:45 PM
预期进球
1.8
2.8
1.0
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
9%3:1
6%1:2
6%xG 分解
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
53%
平局
26%
客胜
21%
进球数
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
双重机会
主胜或平局
79%
客胜或平局
47%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
55%
否
45%
关键因素
- Extreme squad depletion for the hosts: Only 0% of goal-scoring threat available, without Bryan Linssen, Tjaronn Chery, Noé Lebreton, Darko Nejasmic, and Deveron Fonville
- Offensive strength of the visitors: Excelsior averaged 5.2 shots on target in recent matches
- Opposing form trends: Excelsior travel with four wins in five matches (WWLWW), while NEC Nijmegen's goal scoring recently slowed down to an average of 1.8 goals
风险因素
- Limited squad depth for Excelsior: Only 56% of their usual starting XI strength is available
- Short recovery phase: Both teams enter the match with only 3 days of rest since their last game
- Away defensive weakness: Excelsior concedes an average of 1.89 goals per away match
概述
NEC Nijmegen host Excelsior at the Goffertstadion
Eredivisie match on September 8, 2026, 6:45 PM
NEC Nijmegen sit in 10th place with 6 points
Excelsior arrive in 5th place with 9 points
The home side is favored with a 53% win probability according to the model
近期状态
NEC Nijmegen show a form of WLLWL over their last matches
Two wins and three defeats recorded recently
The last match ended in a 1-3 loss against Feyenoord
Excelsior are in great shape with a WWLWW run
Four wins from their last five matches boost confidence
Their latest game was a 3-0 win away at Willem II
统计数据
NEC Nijmegen average 2.26 goals scored and 1.56 goals conceded this season
At home they score 2.28 and concede 1.39 goals on average
Excelsior score 1.26 and concede 1.65 goals per match this season
Away from home Excelsior concede 1.89 goals per game on average
Historical venue stats show a 100% BTTS rate in 5 analyzed matches
历史交锋
Only 2 head-to-head matches are recorded in the database
NEC Nijmegen won both of these encounters
Goal difference stands at 7-0 in favor of the home team
The last meeting ended in a 2-0 win for NEC Nijmegen on April 4, 2026
关键球员
Dušan Tadić is a key creative threat in attack for the home side
Midfielder Isak Hansen-Aarøen is also a key figure in the lineup
For Excelsior, Irakli Yegoian stands out with 1 goal and 2 assists in recent matches
Rick Meissen stabilizes the away defense and recently scored a goal
Casper Widell is in top form with a 7.16 average rating in recent games
门将
Nikolas Polster is expected to start in goal for the home team
Stijn van Gassel protects the net for Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen have kept 5 clean sheets so far this season
Excelsior have achieved 6 clean sheets in the current campaign
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Goffertstadion
The last 5 venue matches averaged 3.4 total goals per game
Home advantage is a factor with NEC Nijmegen scoring 2.28 goals per home game
Both teams face a tight schedule with only 3 days since their last match