🇳🇱

Eredivisie

FC Utrecht - PSV

08/30/2026, 10:15 AM

1 : 6
预期进球
FC Utrecht
1.3
Total xG
2.7
PSV
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

0:2

6%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
FUPSV

FC Utrecht

防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.36
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
+0.05
22%进球产出缺失 (仅72%可用)

PSV

防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均2.1球)
-0.67
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均3.6球)
+0.24
状态上升 (3.6 vs 2.8 赛季平均)
+0.24
Paul Wanner替补席 (3球, 3助攻)
10%进球产出缺失 (仅88%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均2球 vs 总体2.8球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.9球)
+1.40
+1.40
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

35%

平局

29%

客胜

36%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

64%

客胜或平局

65%

非平局

71%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • Tactical contrast: PSV averaged 8.6 shots on target with 61.6% possession in recent matches, while Utrecht focused on counter-attacking
  • Attack power vs home fortress: PSV average an impressive 3.07 away goals per game but encounter Utrecht's stable home defense conceding just 0.71 goals
  • Form dominance: PSV travel unbeaten with a strong WWDWW form curve, while Utrecht had a slow start with only one point so far
风险因素
  • Limited data availability regarding duel statistics in the recent matches of both teams
  • Starting XI weakened: Paul Wanner is not named in PSV's starting lineup
  • Severe injury concerns for Utrecht with five sidelined players in their squad
概述

FC Utrecht host PSV at Stadion Galgenwaard

Eredivisie match on August 30, 2026, 12:15 PM

FC Utrecht currently sit in 15th place with 1 point

PSV arrive in 2nd place with 7 points

The mathematical model predicts a close match with an away win probability of 36% and home win at 35%

近期状态

Utrecht's form is inconsistent with WDLLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Their last match ended in a 3-3 draw against Sparta Rotterdam

PSV show a strong form curve of WWDWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The visitors won their last game 5-1 against FC Groningen

统计数据

Utrecht averaged 1.64 goals scored per game over the season

At home, they concede only 0.71 goals on average while scoring 1.62

PSV average an impressive 3.07 goals per away game

The visitors concede 1.36 goals on average when playing away

PSV scored 101 goals in 34 league games

历史交锋

In the last 4 direct meetings, Utrecht failed to secure a win

PSV won 3 matches, with 1 encounter ending in a draw

The last head-to-head match ended in a narrow 4-3 victory for PSV

PSV scored 13 goals in these matches compared to Utrecht's 8

关键球员

Artem Stepanov averages 0.94 goals per 90 minutes in recent games

Dani de Wit contributes with 7 goals and 3 assists

Yoann Cathline has provided 2 assists recently

Ivan Perišić has 3 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 appearances

Ricardo Pepi is the top threat with 16 goals scored

Ryan Flamingo scored 2 goals in his last 5 matches

门将

Vasilios Barkas is in goal for Utrecht, keeping 6 clean sheets at home and 9 overall

Matej Kovar starts for PSV, recording 5 clean sheets in away matches and 7 overall

影响因素

The match is played on grass at Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht benefit from solid home defensive stats with only 0.71 goals conceded per game

Historically, matches at this venue average 3.8 goals per game

The both teams to score rate stands at 60% at this stadium

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。