比赛报告 →
Feyenoord – ADO Den Haag2 : 2
模型为何这样判断
Feyenoord
1.87
总 xG
3.45
ADO Den Haag
1.58
我们的模型在开赛前给出的预期进球
模型的计算方式：每个因素都会为一支球队增加或减少预期进球。
| 因素 | Feyenoord | ADO Den Haag |
|---|---|---|
| 进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.28倍) | −1.83 | |
| 高进球联赛 (场均3.9球) | +1.40 | +1.40 |
| 小样本 (0场) - 均值回归 | +1.30 | |
| 防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.8球) | −0.29 | |
| 最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球) | +0.05 | |
| 全员可用 | ||
| 全员可用 |
关键因素
- Form gap: Feyenoord are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (DWWDW), while ADO Den Haag lost all 3 league games (LLL)
- Tactical dominance: Feyenoord averaged 6.4 shots on target per game in recent matches
- Squad advantage: Feyenoord have 97% of their goal-scoring threat available, while ADO Den Haag are at 0% active goal production
风险
- Away defensive weakness: ADO Den Haag conceded 5.0 goals in their only away game this season and average 3.0 goals conceded per match
- Offensive struggles: ADO Den Haag averaged only 2.3 shots on target per game in recent matches
- Goal shortage threat: According to current squad impact data ADO Den Haag have 0% of their goal production active
全部概率
赛果
Feyenoord44%
平局25%
ADO Den Haag32%
进球
大于 1.587%
小于 1.513%
大于 2.567%
小于 2.533%
大于 3.545%
小于 3.555%
双重机会
Feyenoord或平局68%
ADO Den Haag或平局56%
非平局75%
双方均进球
是68%
否32%
最可能的比分
1:1
11%
2:1
9%
1:2
7%
2:2
7%
2:0
6%
首发阵容
Feyenoord 4-3-3 · ADO Den Haag 4-2-3-1
Feyenoord
- 1 T. Ernst
- 26 G. Read
- 4 T. Watanabe
- 35 M. Marmol Medina
- 16 J. López Carballo
- 8 G. Zechiël
- 28 O. Targhalline
- 10 L. Valente
- 23 A. Hadj Moussa
- 9 A. Ueda
- 27 G. Diarra
ADO Den Haag
- 1 K. Nikièma
- 2 O. Raterink
- 3 P. Mulder
- 15 M. Hokke
- 18 S. Sylla
- 25 J. Kilo
- 14 M. Jimenez
- 7 D. van Mieghem
- 11 E. Rottier
- 27 I. Thomas
- 46 Y. Fereira Eduardo
替补
- 34 C. Vanhoutte
- 39 L. Bossin
- 11 G. Albuquerque Borges
- 49 S. van Persie
- 24 T. Kraaijeveld
- 30 J. Lotomba
- 14 S. Steijn
- 20 M. Deijl
- 37 M. Berger
- 22 T. van den Elshout
- 36 J. Zinhagel
- 19 I. Ferri Julià
- 8 J. Žambůrek
- 5 J. Jensen-Abbew
- 4 M. Waem
- 16 F. de Bruin
- 17 J. Hawkins
- 19 L. Reischl
- 22 L. Wilhelm
- 9 J. Bal
- 10 I. de Ruijter
- 23 N. Thiede
- 12 S. Eekhout
- 35 S. Puljhun Bergtop
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