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Eredivisie

FC Groningen - Fortuna Sittard

08/28/2026, 06:00 PM

2 : 3
预期进球
FC Groningen
2.1
Total xG
3.1
Fortuna Sittard
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

2:0

10%

3:1

7%

3:0

7%
xG 分解
FGFS

FC Groningen

防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.17
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.07
Marco Rente未进大名单 (3球, 4助攻)

Fortuna Sittard

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.43倍)
-1.45
防守不足 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均2.1球)
-0.24
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.04
Yassin Oukili替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
30%进球产出缺失 (仅97%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.5球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.8球)
+1.25
+1.25
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

60%

平局

23%

客胜

17%

进球数

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

60%

Under 2.5

40%

Over 3.5

38%

Under 3.5

62%

双重机会

主胜或平局

83%

客胜或平局

40%

非平局

77%

双方进球

58%

42%

关键因素
  • Recent scoring form: Groningen averaged 1.8 goals in recent games, higher than their season average of 1.6
  • Aggressive attack: FC Groningen recently averaged 5.8 shots on target per match
  • Defensive home power: Groningen concede only 0.95 goals on average per game on home soil
风险因素
  • Away defensive struggles: Fortuna Sittard concede an average of 2.27 goals per away match
  • Key defensive absence: FC Groningen miss important defender Marco Rente due to injury
概述

FC Groningen (5th place, 6 points) host Fortuna Sittard (8th place, 4 points) at Euroborg

Eredivisie match on August 28, 2026, 8:00 PM

Groningen look to stay close to the top group after their season start

Mathematical prediction calculates a home win probability of 60%

近期状态

FC Groningen show the form WLWWL (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses)

They recently suffered a heavy 1-5 defeat against PSV Eindhoven

Fortuna Sittard present the form WLDWL (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)

The away side lost their last match 0-2 against AZ Alkmaar

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

FC Groningen score 1.42 goals on average at home and concede only 0.95

Fortuna Sittard struggle defensively away, conceding an average of 2.27 goals per match

At Euroborg, matches average 2.8 total goals

The BTTS rate at this venue stands at 60%

历史交锋

Even historical record with 2 wins each in 4 direct encounters

The goal difference in these matches is exactly 4-4

The last encounter on January 25, 2026, ended in a 2-1 away win for Fortuna Sittard

关键球员

Thom van Bergen leads Groningen's attack with 9 goals and 4 assists

Brynjólfur Willumsson is in rising form with 3 goals in his last 5 matches

David van der Werff anchors the midfield with a season rating of 6.90

For Fortuna Sittard, Mohamed Ihattaren key playmaker with 6 goals and 10 assists

Philip Brittijn has contributed 4 goals this season

Justin Hubner solidifies the defense with a 6.73 rating

门将

Etienne Vaessen is Groningen's goalkeeper with 10 clean sheets and a season rating of 6.81

Mattijs Branderhorst plays for Fortuna Sittard with 3 clean sheets and a 7.00 rating

影响因素

Strong home advantage for Groningen with only 0.95 goals conceded per home game

The match will be played on natural grass

The history at Euroborg averages 2.8 total goals per match

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